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Title | John Locke: Essays on the Law of Nature : the Latin Text with a Translation, Introduction, and Notes ; Together with Transcripts of Locke's Shorthand in His Journal for 1676 |
Author | |
Editor | |
Edition | illustrated, reprint |
Publisher | Clarendon Press, 2002 |
ISBN | 0199254214, 9780199254217 |
Length | 292 pages |
Subjects | › › |
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The concept of a law of nature, while familiar, is deeply puzzling. Theorists such as Descartes think a divine being governs the universe according to the laws which follow from that being’s own nature. Newton detaches the concept from theology and is agnostic about the ontology underlying the laws of nature. Some later philosophers treat laws as summaries of events or tools for understanding and explanation, or identify the laws with principles and equations fundamental to scientific theories. In the first part of this volume, essays from leading historians of philosophy identify central questions: are laws independent of the things they govern, or do they emanate from the powers of bodies? Are the laws responsible for the patterns we see in nature, or should they be collapsed into those patterns? In the second part, contributors at the forefront of current debate evaluate the role of laws in contemporary Best System, perspectival, Kantian, and powers- or mechanisms-based approaches. These essays take up pressing questions about whether the laws of nature can be consistent with contingency, whether laws are based on the invariants of scientific theories, and how to deal with exceptions to laws. These twelve essays, published here for the first time, will be required reading for anyone interested in metaphysics, philosophy of science, and the histories of these disciplines.
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The latin text with a translation, introduction and notes, together with transcripts of locke's shorthand in his journal for 1676, by john locke.
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Laws of nature.
Laws of Nature are to be distinguished both from Scientific Laws and from Natural Laws . Neither Natural Laws, as invoked in legal or ethical theories, nor Scientific Laws, which some researchers consider to be scientists’ attempts to state or approximate the Laws of Nature, will be discussed in this article. Instead, it explores issues in contemporary metaphysics.
Within metaphysics, there are two competing theories of Laws of Nature. On one account, the Regularity Theory, Laws of Nature are statements of the uniformities or regularities in the world; they are mere descriptions of the way the world is. On the other account, the Necessitarian Theory, Laws of Nature are the “principles” which govern the natural phenomena of the world. That is, the natural world “obeys” the Laws of Nature. This seemingly innocuous difference marks one of the most profound gulfs within contemporary philosophy, and has quite unexpected, and wide-ranging, implications.
Some of these implications involve accidental truths, false existentials, the correspondence theory of truth, and the concept of free will. Perhaps the most important implication of each theory is whether the universe is a cosmic coincidence or driven by specific, eternal laws of nature. Each side takes a different stance on each of these issues, and to adopt either theory is to give up one or more strong beliefs about the nature of the world.
In 1959, at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Sciences, Michael Scriven read a paper that implicitly distinguished between Laws of Nature and Laws of Science. Laws of Science (what he at that time called “physical laws”) – with few exceptions – are inaccurate, are at best approximations of the truth, and are of limited range of application. The theme has since been picked up and advanced by Nancy Cartwright.
If scientific laws are inaccurate, then – presumably – there must be some other laws (statements, propositions, principles), doubtless more complex, which are accurate, which are not approximation to the truth but are literally true.
When, for example, generations of philosophers have agonized over whether physical determinism precludes the existence of free will (for example, Honderich), they have been concerned with these latter laws, the laws of nature itself.
It is the explication of these latter laws, the Laws of Nature, that is the topic of this article. It does not examine the “approximate truths” of science. Thus, to cite just one example, the controversy over whether scientific laws are (merely) instruments lies outside the topic of this article.
Theories as to the features of Laws of Nature fall into two, quite distinct, schools: the Humeans (or Neo-Humeans) on the one side, the Necessitarians on the other.
Recent scholarship (for example, that of J. Wright and of Beauchamp and Rosenberg) makes a convincing case that the received view as to what David Hume offered as an explication of the concept of law of nature was quite mistaken, indeed the very opposite of what Hume was arguing. What, historically, until late in the Twentieth Century, was called the “Humean” account of Laws of Nature was a misnomer. Hume himself was no “Humean” as regards laws of nature. Hume, it turns out, was a Necessitarian – i.e. believed that laws of nature are in some sense “necessary” (although of course not logically necessary). His legendary skepticism was epistemological . He was concerned, indeed even baffled, how our knowledge of physical necessity could arise. What, in experience, accounted for the origin of the idea? What, in experience, provided evidence of the existence of the property? He could find nothing that played such a role.
Yet, in spite of his epistemological skepticism, he persisted in his belief that laws of nature are (physical) necessities. So as not to perpetuate the historical error as to what “Humean” properly connotes, this arsticle abandons that term altogether and adopts the relatively unproblematical term “Regularity” in its stead. At the very least, the Regularists’ Theory of Laws of Nature denies that Laws of Nature are ‘physically necessary’. There is no physical necessity, either in laws or in nature itself. There is no intermediate state between logical necessity on the one hand and sheer contingency on the other.
Necessitarians, in contrast, argue that there is physical (or as they sometimes call it “nomic” or “nomological”) necessity. They offer two different accounts. According to some Necessitarians, physical necessity is a property of the Laws of Nature (along with truth, universality, etc.); according to other Necessitarians, physical necessity inheres in the very woof and warp (the stuff and structure) of the universe.
Thus, for example, on the first of these two Necessitarian theories, electrons will bear the electrical charge -1.6 x 10 -19 Coulombs because there is a Law of Nature to that effect, and the universe conforms to, or is ‘governed’ by, this physically necessary (i.e. nomological) principle (along with a number of others, of course).
On the second of the two Necessitarian theories, the “necessity” of an electron’s bearing this particular electrical charge “resides” in the electron itself. It is of the very ‘nature’ of an electron, by necessity, to have this particular electrical charge. On this latter account, the statement “All electrons bear a charge of -1.6 x 10 -19 Coulombs” is a Law of Nature because it correctly (veridically) describes a physical necessity in the world. [ 1 ]
Regularists and Necessitarians agree as to five conditions necessary for a statement’s being a Law of Nature.
1. | are factual truths, not logical ones; | “The boiling point of sulfur is 444.6° Celsius” expresses a factual truth. “Every number has a double” expresses a logical truth. |
2. | are true for every time and every place in the universe; | There are no laws of nature that hold just for the planet earth (or the Andromeda Galaxy, for that matter), nor are there any that hold just for the Eighteenth Century or just for the Mesozoic Era. |
3. | contain no proper names; | Laws of nature may contain general concepts, such as “mass”, “color”, “aptitude”, “capital”, “diabetes”, “return on investments”, etc.; but may not contain such terms as “the Fraser River”, “the planet Earth”, “$59.22”, “June 18, 1935”, “IBM”, etc. |
4. | are universal or statistical claims; and | “(All pure) copper conducts electricity” expresses a law of nature. But “Stars exist” (although true) does not express a law of nature: it is neither a universal nor a statistical claim. |
5. | are conditional claims, not categorical ones. | Categorical claims which are equivalent to conditional claims (e.g. “There are no perpetual motion machines of the first kind” which is equivalent to “If anything is a perpetual motion machine then it is not of the first kind”) are candidates for lawfulness. ] Categorical claims (e.g., again, “There are stars”) which are not equivalent to conditionals are not candidates for lawfulness. Note: Laws of physics which are expressed mathematically are taken to be elliptical for conditional truths. For example, the law “m = m /(1 – v /c ) ” is to be read as equivalent to “for any massy object, if its velocity is v, then its mass [m ] is equal to its rest mass [m ] divided by …” |
Are these five conditions jointly sufficient for a proposition’s being a Law of Nature? Regularists say “yes”; Necessitarians, “no”.
Necessitarians lay claim to a number of examples which, they say, can be explicated only by positing a sixth necessary condition for laws of nature, namely, by positing natural (physical /nomic /nomological) necessity.
Moas (a large flightless bird that lived in New Zealand) have been extinct for more than a century. We can assume (this example is Popper’s [ The Logic of Scientific Discovery , Appendix *x]) that some one of them (we needn’t know which one) was the oldest Moa ever to have lived. Suppose it died at the age of n years. Thus the statement “No moa lives beyond the age of n years” is true (where “lives” is being used as a tenseless verb). Moreover this statement satisfies all the other necessary conditions specified above .
But, Necessitarians will argue, the statement “No moa lives beyond the age of n years” is not a law of nature. It is counterintuitive to believe that such a statement could be on the same (metaphysical) footing as “No perpetual motion machine of the first kind exists”, or, citing another example, “No object having mass is accelerated beyond the speed of light”. The latter statements are bona fide laws of nature; the former a mere ‘accidental’ truth. The difference lies in the (alleged) fact that the latter two cases (about perpetual motion machines and about massy objects) are physically necessary truths; the former (about moas) is a mere accidental truth. To use Popper’s terminology, genuine laws of nature “forbid” certain things to happen; accidental truths do not. Suppose the oldest moa – we’ll call him Ludwig – died, of an intestinal infection, at the age of (let’s say) 12 years. (I haven’t any idea what the average life span of moas was. It’s irrelevant for our purposes.) Now suppose that Ludwig had a younger brother, Johann, hatched from the same clutch of eggs, one hour later than Ludwig himself. Poor Johann – he was shot by a hunter 10 minutes before Ludwig died of his illness. But, surely, had Johann not been shot, he would have lived to a greater age than Ludwig. Unlike his (very slightly) older brother, Johann was in perfect health. Johann was well on his way to surviving Ludwig; it’s just that a hunter dispatched him prematurely. His death was a misfortune; it was not mandated by a law of nature.
False existential statements of the sort “Some silver burns at -22° Celsius” and “There is a river of cola” are logically equivalent to statements satisfying all of the five necessary conditions specified above. If those conditions were to constitute a set of sufficient conditions for a statement’s being a law of nature, then the statement “No river is constituted of cola” would be a law of nature. [ 3 ]
The oddity goes even more deeply. Given that what it is to be physically impossible is to be logically inconsistent with a law of nature, then every false existential statement of the sort “Some S is P” or “There is an S that is a P” would turn out to be, not just false, but physically impossible.
But surely the statement “There is a river of cola”, although false, is not physically impossible. There could be such a river. It would merely require a colossal accident (such as befell Boston in 1912 when a huge vat of molasses ruptured), or the foolish waste of a great deal of money.
If “there is a river of cola” is not to be regarded as physically impossible, then some one or more further conditions must be added to the set of necessary conditions for lawfulness. Physical necessity would seem to be that needed further condition.
Suppose (1) that Earth is the only planet in the universe to have supported intelligent life; and (2) that all life on Earth perished in 1900 when the earth was struck by a meteor 10,000 km in diameter. Clearly, under those conditions, the Wright Brothers would never have flown their plane at Kitty Hawk. Even though tinkerers and engineers had been trying for centuries to build a heavier-than-air motorized flying machine, everyone had failed to produce one. But their failure was merely failure; these projects were not doomed. Yet, if the universe had had the slightly different history just described, the statement “there is a heavier-than-air motorized flying machine” would turn out to be physically impossible; hence the project was doomed . But, Necessitarians will argue, not all projects that fail are doomed. Some are doomed, for example, any attempt to accelerate a massy object beyond the speed of light, or, for example, to build a perpetual motion machine of the first kind. Again, just as in the case of accidental truths and lawful truths, we do not want to collapse the distinction between doom and failure. Some projects are doomed ; others are mere failures . The distinction warrants being preserved, and that requires positing physical necessity (and—what is the other side of the same coin—physical impossibility).
With the dawning of the modern, scientific, age came the growing realization of an extensive sublime order in nature. To be sure, humankind has always known that there is some order in the natural world—for example, the tides rise and fall, the moon has four phases, virgins have no children, water slakes thirst, and persons grow older, not younger. But until the rise of modern science, no one suspected the sweep of this order. The worldview of the West has changed radically since the Renaissance. From a world which seemed mostly chaotic, there emerged an unsuspected underlying order , an order revealed by physics, chemistry, biology, economics, sociology, psychology, neuroscience, geology, evolutionary theory, pharmacology, epidemiology, etc.
And so, alongside the older metaphysical question, “Why is there anything, rather than nothing?”, there arises the newer question, “Why is the world orderly, rather than chaotic?” How can one explain the existence of this pervasive order? What accounts for it?
Even as recently as the Eighteenth Century, we find philosophers (e.g. Montesquieu) explicitly attributing the order in nature to the hand of God, more specifically to His having imposed physical laws on nature in much the same way as He imposed moral laws on human beings. There was one essential difference, however. Human beings – it was alleged – are “free” to break (act contrary to) God’s moral laws; but neither human beings nor the other parts of creation are free to break God’s physical laws.
In the Twentieth Century virtually all scientists and philosophers have abandoned theistic elements in their accounts of the Laws of Nature. But to a very great extent—so say the Regularists—the Necessitarians have merely replaced God with Physical Necessity. The Necessitarians’ nontheistic view of Laws of Nature surreptitiously preserves the older prescriptivist view of Laws of Nature, namely, as dictates or edicts to the natural universe, edicts which – unlike moral laws or legislated ones – no one, and no thing, has the ability to violate.
Regularists reject this view of the world. Regularists eschew a view of Laws of Nature which would make of them inviolable edicts imposed on the universe. Such a view, Regularists claim, is simply a holdover from a theistic view. It is time, they insist, to adopt a thoroughly naturalistic philosophy of science, one which is not only purged of the hand of God, but is also purged of its unempirical latter-day surrogate, namely, nomological necessity. The difference is, perhaps, highlighted most strongly in Necessitarians saying that the Laws of Nature govern the world; while Regularists insist that Laws of Nature do no more or less than correctly describe the world.
Doubtless the strongest objection Necessitarians level against Regularists is that the latter’s theory obliterates the distinction between laws of nature (for example, “No massy object is accelerated beyond the speed of light”) and accidental generalizations (e.g. “No Moa lives more than n years”). Thus, on the Regularists’ account, there is a virtually limitless number of Laws of Nature. (Necessitarians, in contrast, typically operate with a view that there are only a very small number, a mere handful, of Laws of Nature, that these are the ‘most fundamental’ laws of physics, and that all other natural laws are logical consequences of [i.e. ‘reducible to’] these basic laws. I will not further pursue the issue of reductivism in this article.)
What is allegedly wrong with there being no distinction between accidental generalizations and ‘genuine’ Laws of Nature? Just this (say the Necessitarians): if there is a virtually limitless number of Laws of Nature, then (as we have seen above) every false existential statement turns out to be physically impossible and (again) the distinction between (mere) failure and doom is obliterated.
How can Regularists reply to this seemingly devastating attack, issuing as it does from deeply entrenched philosophical intuitions?
Regularists will defend their theory against this particular objection by arguing that the expression “physically impossible” has different meanings in the two theories: there is a common, or shared, meaning of this expression in both theories, but there is an additional feature in the Necessitarians’ account that is wholly absent in the Regularists’.
The common (i.e. shared) meaning in “physically impossible” is “inconsistent with a Law of Nature”. That is, anything that is inconsistent with a Law of Nature is “physically impossible”. (On a prescriptivist account of Laws of Nature, one would say Laws of Nature “rule out” certain events and states-of-affairs.)
On both accounts – Necessitarianism and Regularity – what is physically impossible never, ever, occurs – not in the past, not at present, not in the future, not here, and not anywhere else.
But on the Necessitarians’ account, there is something more to a physically impossible event’s nonoccurrence and something more to a physically impossible state-of-affair’s nonexistence. What is physically impossible is not merely nonoccurrent or nonexistent. These events and states-of-affairs simply could not occur or exist. There is, then, in the Necessitarians’ account, a modal element that is entirely lacking in the Regularists’ theory. When Necessitarians say of a claim – e.g. that someone has built a perpetual motion machine of the first kind – that it is physically impossible, they intend to be understood as claiming that not only is the situation described timelessly and universally false, it is so because it is nomically impossible.
In contrast, when Regularists say that some situation is physically impossible – e.g. that there is a river of cola – they are claiming no more and no less than that there is no such river, past, present, future, here, or elsewhere. There is no nomic dimension to their claim. They are not making the modal claim that there could not be such a river; they are making simply the factual (nonmodal) claim that there timelessly is no such river. (Further reading: ‘The’ Modal Fallacy .)
According to Regularists, the concept of physical impossibility is nothing but a special case of the concept of timeless falsity. It is only when one imports from other theories (Necessitarianism, Prescriptivism, and so forth) a different, modal, meaning of the expression, that paradox seems to ensue. Understand the ambiguity of the expression, and especially its nonmodal character in the Regularity theory, and the objection that the Necessitarians level is seen to miss its mark.
(There is an allied residual problem with the foundations of Necessitarianism. Some recent authors [e.g. Armstrong and Carroll] have written books attempting to explicate the concept of nomicity. But they confess to being unable to explicate the concept, and they ultimately resort to treating it as an unanalyzable base on which to erect a theory of physical lawfulness.)
Another philosophical intuition that has prompted the belief in Necessitarianism has been the belief that to explain why one event occurred rather than another, one must argue that the occurring event “had to happen” given the laws of nature and antecedent conditions. In a nutshell, the belief is that laws of nature can be used to explain the occurrence of events, accidental generalizations—’mere truths devoid of nomic force’—can not be so utilized.
The heyday of the dispute over this issue was the 1940s and 50s. It sputtered out, in more or less an intellectual standoff, by the late 60s. Again, philosophical intuitions and differences run very deep. Regularists will argue that we can explain events very well indeed, thank you, in terms of vaguely circumscribed generalities; we do not usually invoke true generalities, let alone true generalities that are assumed to be nomically necessary. In short, we can, and indeed do several times each day, explain events without supposing that the principles we cite are in any sense necessary . Regularists will point to the fact that human beings had, for thousands of years, been successfully explaining some events in their environment (e.g. that the casting cracked because it had been cooled down too quickly) without even having the concept of nomicity, much less being able to cite any nomologically necessary universal generalizations.
Necessitarianism, on this view, then, is seen to dovetail with a certain – highly controversial – view of the nature of explanation itself, namely, that one can explain the occurrence of an event only when one is in a position to cite a generalization which is nomologically necessary. Few philosophers are now prepared to persist with this view of explanation, but many still retain the belief that there are such things as nomologically necessary truths. Regularists regard this belief as superfluous.
Religious skeptics – had they lived in a society where they might have escaped torture for asking the question – might have wondered why (/how) the world molds itself to God’s will. God, on the Prescriptivist view of Laws of Nature, commanded the world to be certain ways, e.g. it was God’s will (a law of nature that He laid down) that all electrons should have a charge of -1.6 x 10 -19 Coulombs. But how is all of this supposed to play out? How, exactly, is it that electrons do have this particular charge? It is a mighty strange, and unempirical, science that ultimately rests on an unintelligible power of a/the deity.
Twentieth-century Necessitarianism has dropped God from its picture of the world. Physical necessity has assumed God’s role: the universe conforms to (the dictates of? / the secret, hidden, force of? / the inexplicable mystical power of?) physical laws. God does not ‘drive’ the universe; physical laws do.
But how ? How could such a thing be possible? The very posit lies beyond (far beyond) the ability of science to uncover. It is the transmuted remnant of a supernatural theory, one which science, emphatically, does not need.
There is another, less polemical, way of making the same point.
Although there are problems aplenty in Tarski’s theory of truth (i.e. the semantic theory of truth, also called the “correspondence theory of truth”), it is the best theory we have. Its core concept is that statements (or propositions) are true if they describe the world the way it is, and they are false otherwise. Put metaphorically, we can say that truth flows to propositions from the way the world is. Propositions ‘take their truth’ from the world; they do not impose their truth on the world. If two days before an election, Tom says “Sylvia will win”, and two days after the election, Marcus says, “Sylvia won”, then whether these statements are true or false depends on whether or not Sylvia is elected. If she is, both statements are true; if she is not, then both statements are false. But the truth or falsity of those statements does not bring about her winning (or losing), or cause her to win (or lose), the election. Whether she wins or loses is up to the voters, not to certain statements.
Necessitarians – unwittingly perhaps – turn the semantic theory of truth on its head. Instead of having propositions taking their truth from the way the world is, they argue that certain propositions – namely the laws of nature – impose truth on the world.
The Tarskian truth-making relation is between events or state-of-affairs on the one hand and properties of abstract entities (propositions) on the other. As difficult as it may be to absorb such a concept, it is far more difficult to view a truth-making relationship the ‘other way round’. Necessitarianism requires that one imagine that a certain privileged class of propositions impose their truth on events and states of affairs. Not only is this monumental oddity of Necessitarianism hardly ever noticed, no one has ever tried to offer a theory as to its nature.
Eighteenth-century empiricists (Hume most especially) wondered where, in experience, there was anything that prompted the concept of physical necessity. Experience, it would seem, provides at best only data about how the world is , not how it must be , i.e. experience provides data concerning regularity, not (physical) necessity. Hume’s best answer, and it is clearly inadequate, lay in a habit of mind.
Twentieth-century empiricists are far more concerned with the justification of our concepts than with their origins. So the question has now evolved to “what evidence exists that warrants a belief in a physical necessity beyond the observed and posited regularities in nature?”
A number of Necessitarians (see, for example, von Wright) have tried to describe experiments whose outcomes would justify a belief in physical necessity. But these thought-experiments are impotent. At best – as Hume clearly had seen – any such experiment could show no more than a pervasive regularity in nature; none could demonstrate that such a regularity flowed from an underlying necessity.
In the Regularity theory, the knotted problem of free will vs. determinism is solved (or better, “dissolved”) so thoroughly that it cannot coherently even be posed.
On the Regularists’ view, there simply is no problem of free will. We make choices – some trivial, such as to buy a newspaper; others, rather more consequential, such as to buy a home, or to get married, or to go to university, etc. – but these choices are not forced upon us by the laws of nature. Indeed, it is the other way round. Laws of nature are (a subclass of the) true descriptions of the world. Whatever happens in the world, there are true descriptions of those events. It’s true that you cannot “violate” a law of nature, but that’s not because the laws of nature ‘force’ you to behave in some certain way. It is rather that whatever you do, there is a true description of what you have done. You certainly don’t get to choose the laws that describe the charge on an electron or the properties of hydrogen and oxygen that explain their combining to form water. But you do get to choose a great many other laws. How do you do that? Simply by doing whatever you do in fact do.
For example, if you were to choose(!) to raise your arm, then there would be a timelessly true universal description (let’s call it “D 4729 ”) of what you have done. If, however, you were to choose not to raise your arm, then there would be a (different) timelessly true universal description (we can call it “D 5322 ”) of what you did (and D 4729 would be timelessly false).
Contrary to the Necessitarians’ claim – that the laws of nature are not of our choosing – Regularists argue that a very great many laws of nature are of our choosing. But it’s not that you reflect on choosing the laws. You don’t wake up in the morning and ask yourself “Which laws of nature will I create today?” No, it’s rather that you ask yourself, “What will I do today?”, and in choosing to do some things rather than others, your actions – that is, your choices – make certain propositions (including some universal statements containing no proper names) true and other propositions false.
A good example embodying the Regularists’ view can be found in the proposition, attributed to Sir Thomas Gresham (1519?-1579) but already known earlier, called – not surprisingly – “Gresham’s Law”:
[Gresham’s Law is] the theory holding that if two kinds of money in circulation have the same denominational value but different intrinsic values, the money with higher intrinsic value will be hoarded and eventually driven out of circulation by the money with lesser intrinsic value.
In effect what this “law” states is that ‘bad money drives out good’. For example, in countries where the governments begin issuing vast amounts of paper money, that money becomes next-to-worthless and people hoard ‘good’ money, e.g. gold and silver coins, that is, “good” money ceases to circulate.
Why, when paper money becomes virtually worthless, do people hoard gold? Because gold retains its economic value – it can be used in emergencies to purchase food, clothing, flight (if need be), medicine, etc., even when “bad” paper money will likely not be able to be so used. People do not hoard gold under such circumstances because Gresham’s “Law” forces them to do so. Gresham’s “Law” is purely descriptive (not prescriptive) and illustrates well the point Regularists insist upon: namely, that laws of economics are not causal agents – they do not force the world to be some particular way rather than another. (Notice, too, how this non-nomological “Law” works perfectly adequately in explaining persons’ behavior. Citing regularities can, and does, explain the way the world is. One does not need to posit an underlying, inaccessible, nomicity.)
The manner in which we regard Gresham’s “Law” ought, Regularists suggest, to be the way we regard all laws of nature. The laws of physics and chemistry are no different than the laws of economics. All laws of nature – of physics, of chemistry, of biology, of economics, of psychology, of sociology, and so forth – are nothing more, nor anything less, than (a certain subclass of) true propositions.
Persons who believe that there is a problem reconciling the existence of free will and determinism have turned upside down the relationship between laws of nature on the one side and events and states of affairs on the other. It is not that laws of nature govern the world. We are not “forced” to choose one action rather than another. It is quite the other way round: we choose, and the laws of nature accommodate themselves to our choice. If I choose to wear a brown shirt, then it is true that I do so; and if instead I were to choose to wear a blue shirt, then it would be true that I wear a blue shirt. In neither case would my choosing be ‘forced’ by the truth of the proposition that describes my action. And the same semantic principle applies even if the proposition truly describing my choice is a universal proposition rather than a singular one.
To make the claim even more pointedly: it is only because Necessitarianism tacitly adopts an anti-semantic theory of truth that the supposed problem of free will vs. determinism even arises. Adopt a thoroughgoing Regularist theory and the problem evaporates.
Many, perhaps most, of workaday scientific laws (recall the first section above) are statistical generalizations – e.g. the scientific claims (explanatory principles) of psychology, economics, meteorology, ecology, epidemiology, etc.
But can the underlying, the “real,” Laws of Nature itself be statistical?
With occasional reluctance, especially early in the Twentieth Century, physicists came to allow that at least some laws of nature really are statistical, for example, laws such as “the half-life of radium is 1,600 years” which is a shorthand way of saying “in any sample of radium, 50% of the radium atoms will radioactively decay within a period of 1,600 years”.
Regularists take the prospect (indeed the existence) of statistical laws of nature in stride. On the Regularists’ account, statistical laws of nature – whether in areas studied by physicists or by economists or by pharmacologists – pose no intellectual or theoretical challenges whatsoever. Just as deterministic (i.e. exceptionless) laws are descriptions of the world, not prescriptions or disguised prescriptions, so too are statistical laws.
Necessitarians, however, frequently have severe problems in accommodating the notion of statistical laws of nature. What sort of metaphysical ‘mechanism’ could manifest itself in statistical generalities? Could there be such a thing as stochastic nomicity? Popper grappled with this problem and proposed what he came to call “the propensity theory of probability”. On his view, each radium atom, for example, would have its “own”(?) 50% propensity to decay within the next 1,600 years. Popper really did see the problem that statistical laws pose for Necessitarianism, but his solution has won few, if any, other subscribers. To Regularists, such solutions appear as evidence of the unworkability and the dispensability of Necessitarianism. They are the sure sign of a theory that is very much in trouble.
An important subtext in the dispute between Necessitarians and Regularists concerns the very concepts we need to ‘make sense’ of the universe.
For Regularists, the way-the-world-is is the rock bottom of their intellectual reconstruction. They have reconciled themselves to, and embraced, the ultimately inexplicable contingency of the universe.
But for Necessitarians, the way-the-world-is cannot be the rock bottom. For after all, they will insist, there has to be some reason, some explanation, why the world is as it is and is not some other way. It can’t simply be, for example, that all electrons, the trillions upon trillions of them, just happen to all bear the identical electrical charge as one another—that would be a cosmic coincidence of an unimaginable improbability. No, this is no coincidence. The identity of electrical charge comes about because there is a law of nature to the effect that electrons have this charge. Laws of nature “drive” the world. The laws of physics which, for example, describe the behavior of diffraction gratings (see Harrison) were true from time immemorial and it is because of those laws that diffraction gratings, when they came to be engineered in modern times, have the peculiar properties they do.
Regularists will retort that the supposed explanatory advantage of Necessitarianism is illusory. Physical necessity, nomicity if you will, is as idle and unempirical a notion as was Locke’s posit of a material substratum. Locke’s notion fell into deserved disuse simply because it did no useful work in science. It was a superfluous notion. (The case is not unlike modern arguments that minds are convenient fictions, the product of “folk” psychology.)
At some point explanations must come to an end. Regularists place that stopping point at the way-the-world-is. Necessitarians place it one, inaccessible, step beyond, at the way-the-world-must-be.
The divide between Necessitarians and Regularists remains as deep as any in philosophy. Neither side has conceived a theory which accommodates all our familiar, and deeply rooted, historically-informed beliefs about the nature of the world. To adopt either theory is to give up one or more strong beliefs about the nature of the world. And there simply do not seem to be any other theories in the offing. While these two theories are clearly logical contraries, they are – for the foreseeable future – also exhaustive of the alternatives.
Norman Swartz Email: [email protected] Simon Fraser University Canada
Essays on the law of nature.
Recommended edition: Political Essays , ed. Mark Goldie (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997), 79-133.
Since God shows Himself to us as present everywhere and, as it were, forces Himself upon the eyes of men as much in the fixed course of nature now as by the frequent evidence of miracles in time past, I assume there will be no one to deny the existence of God, provided he recognizes either the necessity for some rational account of life, or that there is a thing that deserves to be called virtue or vice. This then being taken for granted, and it would be wrong to doubt it, namely, that some divine being presides over the world…it seems just therefore to inquire whether man alone has come into the world altogether exempt from any law applicable to himself, without a plan, rule, or any pattern of his life. No one will easily believe this, who has reflected upon Almighty God, or the unvarying consensus of the whole of mankind at every time and in every place, or even upon himself or his conscience.
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I define the key terms of the Causal Principle, namely ‘whatever’, ‘begins to exist’, and ‘cause’, and the related terms ‘time’, ‘eternal’, ‘event’, ‘change’, ‘perdurantism’, and ‘uncaused’. In particular, something has a beginning if it has a temporal extension, the extension is finite, and it has temporal edges/boundaries, that is, it does not have a static closed loop or a changeless/timeless phase that avoids an edge. This definition is compatible with both dynamic and static theories of time. While causal eliminativists and causal reductionists have claimed that causation has no basis in fundamental physics others have replied that fundamental physics does not provide a complete description of reality, and that it does not exclude causation and causal properties which operate at a more fundamental level as the ground of the regularities described by fundamental physics (Weaver, Fundamental Causation: Physics, Metaphysics, and the Deep Structure of the World . London: Routledge, 2019). Quantum physics has not shown that the Causal Principle is violated given that (1) quantum particles emerge from the quantum vacuum which is not non-being but something with vacuum fields, (2) radioactive disintegration of atomic nuclei exhibit statistical regularities that strongly indicate the existence of more fundamental ordered causes, and (3) many different interpretations of quantum physics exist, and some are perfectly deterministic.
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In this chapter and the next, I shall explain the notions of causality and the laws of nature which are fundamental for KCA-TA (Kalām Cosmological Argument-Teleological Argument), and defend the Causal Principle ‘whatever begins to exist has a cause’. The defence of the Causal Principle is very important for philosophy of religion debates and science and religion dialogues, as it provides the basis for a response to Hawking’s claim that
You can’t get to a time before the Big Bang because there was no time before the Big Bang. We have finally found something that doesn’t have a cause, because there was no time for a cause to exist in. For me this means that there is no possibility of a creator, because there is no time for a creator to have existed in. (Hawking 2018 , p. 38)
I shall respond to Hawking’s claim in Chap. 6 after establishing the Causal Principle in Chaps. 2 and 3 .
In his Inquiry and Essays , the eighteenth-century philosopher Thomas Reid (1710–1796) declared ‘that neither existence, nor any mode of existence, can begin without an efficient cause, is a principle that appears very early in the mind of man; and it is so universal, and so firmly rooted in human nature, that the most determined scepticism cannot eradicate it’ (Reid 1983 , p. 330). His contemporary and well-known sceptic David Hume had apparently raised an objection by claiming that the ideas of cause and effect are distinct and we can conceive of an uncaused beginning-to-be of an object (Hume 1739/1978 , p. 79). However, Hume confessed in a letter written in 1754 that ‘I never asserted so absurd a Proposition as that anything might arise without a cause: I only maintain’d that, our Certainty of the Falsehood of that Proposition proceeded neither from Intuition nor Demonstration; but from another Source’ (Hume 1932 , i., p. 187). Thus, it seems that Hume himself would agree that the mere conceivability of something beginning to exist uncaused does not provide sufficient grounds for rejecting the principle stated by Reid (Anscombe 1974 ). Others however have argued that (in the absence of arguments to the contrary) conceivability does entail possibility, and philosophers influenced by Hume have raised doubts about Reid’s principle. For example, in the Preface to the Second Edition of his Critique of Pure Reason , Immanuel Kant argued that, while the principle of causality is valid for objects as phenomena, it may not be valid for objects as things in themselves (the noumenal world). In more recent years, some scientists and philosophers have claimed that quantum physics indicate that uncaused events happen all the time (Grünbaum 2009 , p. 15). It has also been argued that, even if things do not begin to exist uncaused within our universe, it might be the case that our universe itself begun to exist uncaused (Oppy 2010 , 2015 ; Almeida 2018 ).
The debate is fascinating and of importance to metaphysics, philosophy of science, philosophy of religion, and science and religion dialogues. In this book, instead of defending the stronger claim that ‘neither existence, nor any mode of existence, can begin without an efficient cause’ (Reid), I shall defend the weaker claim that ‘neither existence, nor any mode of existence, begins without a cause’, that is, ‘whatever begins to exist has a cause’ (here, the word ‘cause’ refers to either an efficient cause or a material cause; I shall explain this point below). For convenience of exposition, I shall henceforth refer to this weaker claim as the Causal Principle. I shall first define the key terms of the Causal Principle in the next section, and then respond to some objections to the Causal Principle. In the next chapter, I shall defend an argument in support of the Causal Principle. I shall show that the Causal Principle remains defensible not only on the dynamic (A-) theory of time but also on the static (B-) theory of time (which is widely accepted by cosmologists).
I shall begin by discussing the definitions of the key terms of the Causal Principle ‘whatever begins to exist has a cause’ and the related terms ‘time’, ‘eternal’, ‘event’, ‘change’, ‘perdurantism’, and ‘uncaused’.
‘Whatever’ refers to all that exists (regardless of whether they are things, events, substances, states of affairs, arrangements, etc.). Some have objected to the Causal Principle by claiming that everything came from pre-existent materials (e.g. my body came from pre-existent molecules) and therefore there isn’t anything which begins to exist. Those who affirm creatio ex nihilo (according to which God is the efficient cause who brought about the universe without material cause) would dispute the claim that everything came from pre-existent materials, but in any case the objection is based on a misunderstanding, since ‘whatever’ refers to events and arrangements as well. (Thus, for example, even though my body came from pre-existent molecules, there was a beginning to the event at which the molecules constituted the first cell of my body resulting in a new arrangement of the molecules. The event and new arrangement were caused by the fertilization of my mother’s egg by my father’s sperm.) Therefore, the Causal Principle does not require the demonstration of creatio ex nihilo (nor does it deny creatio ex nihilo ; see below). Rather, the Causal Principle is claiming that, regardless of whether something begins from pre-existing materials or not, it has a cause.
‘Begins to exist’: something has a beginning if it has a temporal extension, the extension is finite, Footnote 1 and it has temporal edges/boundaries, that is, it does not have a static closed loop (see Chap. 5 ) or a changeless/timeless phase (see Chap. 6 ) that avoids an edge. Consider, for example, Oppy’s defence of the claim (against Craig) that it is possible for the initial state of reality to come into existence uncaused out of nothing (Oppy 2015 , section 4, italics mine). The terms in italics indicate a temporal boundary, that is, a beginning. Whereas on Craig’s theistic hypothesis, God (the First Cause) does not come into existence uncaused out of nothing; rather, God is timeless sans creation and in time with creation (Craig and Sinclair 2009 , p. 189). On this view, God’s existence has a timeless phase which avoids a boundary and is therefore beginningless.
In relation to the definition of ‘beginning’, there are different views of time which need to be distinguished. A relational view of time defines time as an extended series of changes/events ordered by ‘earlier than’ and ‘later than’ relations, whereas a substantival view of time affirms that time can exist as an extended substance independently of change.
According to the dynamic (A-) theory of time, the members of a series of changes/events come to be one after another. Whereas on the static (B-) theory of time, our spacetime is a four-dimensional block and the series of events is a tenselessly existing manifold all of whose members are equally real and the ‘flow’ of time is regarded as illusory. By defining ‘beginning to exist’ in terms of ‘temporal extension’ and ‘boundary’, I am using a definition that is compatible with both static and dynamic theories of time.
Against some philosophers who have doubted the existence of time altogether (Pelczar 2015 ), Simon ( 2015 ) notes that ‘it would suffice if we could know via a combination of introspection and memory that our experience changes. But this is commonplace: I remember that I was experiencing a sunrise, and I introspect that I no longer am.’ Moreover, ‘it would suffice if we could conclude that experiences take time … in the words of Ray Cummings (1922), ‘time is what keeps everything from happening all at once’ (ibid.). Thus, the fact that I do not hear all the notes of a Beethoven symphony all at once is evidence that events do not happen all at once; rather, there is a sequence. It has sometimes been claimed that a massless particle travelling at the speed of light is ‘timeless’. However, what this means is that according to Special Relativity, something travelling at the speed of light would not ‘experience’ time passing. One needs to note the distinction between experience and reality. Even though a massless particle travelling at the speed of light does not ‘experience’ time passing, in reality it still has a beginning in time at its point of origin from where the particle is emitted. (For the discussion on timelessness, see further, Chap. 6 .)
There are also different uses of the word ‘eternal’ which need to be distinguished. ‘Eternal’ can mean (1) having no beginning and no end; however, ‘eternal’ has also been used in the literature to refer to (2) something that does not come into being or go out of being. On the static theory of time, the universe can have a beginning (in the sense explained above) and thus is not eternal in the first sense, and yet does not come into being or go out of being, and thus is eternal in the second sense. In line with the latter usage, ‘eternalism’ is used in the literature to refer to the view that our spacetime is a four-dimensional block and the series of events is a tenselessly existing manifold all of whose members are equally real. However, one must be careful to note that this does not imply that the universe has no beginning. (Moreover, ‘eternal’ has also been used to refer to (3) something that has no end but has a beginning; for example, Vilenkin affirms ‘eternal inflation’ and yet he argues that the universe has a beginning; see Chap. 4 .)
An event is understood as a change. The existence of changes is undeniable. It is true that according to the B-theory of time, the ‘moving present’ (often called the ‘flow of time’) which we experience in our consciousness is regarded as illusory. (Because of this, the static theory of time is sometimes misleadingly regarded as timelessness or changelessness. The key issue concerns the definition of time and change; see below.) Nevertheless, no time-theorist (whether A- or B-theorist) would deny (for example) that he/she has undergone numerous changes since he/she was conceived (e.g. he/she has grown taller, heavier, etc.). Nathan Oaklander ( 2004 , p. 39) observes, ‘The rock-bottom feature of time that must be accepted on all sides is that there is change, and the different views concerning the nature of change constitute the difference between A- and B- theories of time.’
A change is understood here as involving a thing or part of a thing Footnote 2 gaining or losing one or more properties. On a dynamic (A) theory of time, the gaining/losing of properties involves a coming to be/passing away of properties. On a static (B) theory of time, the gaining/losing of properties does not involve a coming to be/passing away of properties; rather, it involves having different temporal parts at different times (perdurantism). The different parts have boundaries and hence beginnings (see the definition of ‘beginning’ above).
Thus, it is true that on a static theory, a four-dimensional block is ‘unchanging’ if this is understood as saying that there is no coming to be/passing away of properties, and that there is no ‘earlier’ event if this is understood as saying that there is no event that passes away before others. However, as Oaklander observes, there are still changes in the sense that the four-dimensional block has different temporal parts with different properties at different times. Moreover, some parts (e.g. those temporal parts in which there is water on earth) are posterior to (‘later’ in this sense) and dependent on prior (‘earlier’ in this sense) temporal parts (e.g. those temporal parts in which there is formation of hydrogen near the beginning of the Big Bang; scientists would say that the formation of water is dependent on the prior existence of hydrogen). In this sense later events are dependent on earlier events, and this remains true on the block theory. On a static theory of time, every event in the ‘block’ exists and is equally real, but nevertheless ‘later’ events are still dependent on ‘earlier’ events. Indeed, any theory of time which denies such a basic scientific fact as the formation of water in our universe is dependent on the prior existence of hydrogen would have to be rejected, and no B-theorist of time would deny that. (The dependence can be characterized using counterfactuals as follows: ‘if there were no hydrogen formed earlier, there would not be water formed later’; I shall argue below that this dependence is causal.)
It might be objected that, while it makes sense to talk about things ‘beginning to exist’ within the spacetime block on B-theory of time, it makes no sense whatsoever to talk about the block itself beginning to exist. Footnote 3 But this is not true; if the spacetime block is finite in temporal extension etc. (‘etc.’ refers to ‘does not have a static closed loop or a changeless phase that avoids an edge’), then that implies that the spacetime block has a beginning—the same sense of ‘beginning to exist’ is used. While the spacetime block does not ‘come to be’ on this B-theory view, Footnote 4 it still has a beginning in the sense of being finite in temporal extension etc., just as every part of it has a beginning in the sense of being finite in temporal extension etc. Craig and Sinclair ( 2009 , p. 183) note that ‘For B-Theorists deny that in beginning to exist the universe came into being or became actual’. Note that the concept of ‘beginning to exist’ is not absent in B-theory; indeed, scientists who are B-theorists (e.g. Carroll 2014 ) frequently speak about the beginning of universe. On B-theory ‘beginning to exist’ is not understood as ‘came into being or became actual’, but it is defined as ‘exists tenselessly as a four-dimensional space-time block that is finitely extended’ (Craig and Sinclair 2009 , p. 184). The claim that ‘the block does not exist in time thus to talk about a beginning is meaningless’ is therefore false; regardless of whether the block exists in time or not, if it is finitely extended etc. then it has a beginning according to the static theory’s definition of beginning. A block by definition has extension and an extension can be finite etc. One can say that the part of the spacetime block in which (say) Einstein exists is finite in the sense that it did not consist of an actual infinite moments but is finite etc. That is what it means to say that the block itself has a beginning.
One might object that there is a difference between the part of the block in which Einstein exists and the whole block itself, namely, the whole block itself does not exist in another time block whereas Einstein would exist in the time block. Nevertheless, I shall argue in Chap. 3 that, if the whole block has a beginning, it would have a cause just as the part of the block in which Einstein exists has a cause, the only difference is that, if the cause of the block is initially timeless (see Chap. 6 ), then it is not earlier than the block whereas the causes of Einstein (e.g. his parents) are earlier than Einstein. Both would still have causes, however.
One might ask how can the block have a cause if (according to static theory) it does not come into being or become actual, even though it has a beginning. In reply, the part of the block in which Einstein exists also does not come into being or become actual on the static theory, yet his existence is still causally dependent on his parents’ existence in the sense that, if his parents had not existed, Einstein would not begin to exist. Likewise, I shall argue in Chap. 3 that the whole spacetime block has a cause in the sense that, if the cause does not exist, the spacetime block would not begin to exist.
Aristotle ( Physics 2.3) famously identified four kinds of causes: efficient cause (the source of change, for example, the sculptor’s act of bronze-casting the statue), material cause (‘that out of which a thing comes to be and which persists’, for example, the bronze of the statue), formal cause (‘the form or the archetype’, for example, the structure of the statue), and final cause (‘in the sense of end [telos] or that for the sake of which’, for example, the sculptor sculpting the statue for aesthetic purposes) (Mackie 2005 ). In this book, unless otherwise stated, ‘cause’ refers to either an efficient cause or a material cause, and which is either necessary or sufficient Footnote 5 for an effect, Footnote 6 understood as a change. Footnote 7 Weaver ( 2019 , p. 261) notes that causation is multigrade, asymmetric (although not always temporally asymmetric), transitive, irreflexive and a dependence relation: ‘when event x causes event y , y depends for its existence and contingent content on x .’ Footnote 8
Finally, there are two different senses of the phrase ‘begins uncaused’ which are often used in the literature and which should be distinguished:
(1) For any x , if x begins uncaused, then the beginning of x does not have a causally necessary condition understood as either an efficient cause or material cause. That is, either (1.1) x begins without any causally necessary condition at all, or (1.2) x begins without something that is known to be a causally necessary condition (under certain circumstances) for the beginning of x . For example, in the reality that we now inhabit, what is causally necessary for an increase in strength of a pre-existent electric field under certain circumstances would include (for example) the switching on of an electric field generator. If events such as the increase in strength of pre-existent electric fields happen without the switching on of electric field generators under the same circumstances, they would be regarded as uncaused and would entail a chaotic world e.g. I would suffer from electric shock even though nothing is switched on (see Chap. 3 ). (2) Indeterministic events, such as (as many physicists would affirm) quantum events and (as many libertarians would affirm) a genuinely free act. It is controversial whether humans have libertarian freedom and whether quantum events are genuinely indeterministic. In any case, it should be noted that a libertarian free act does not imply that there is no causally necessary condition for the making of it; the pre-existence of the agent, for example, would be a causally necessary condition. Likewise, the pre-existence of quantum field (for example) would be a causally necessary condition for quantum fluctuation while the pre-existence of atomic nuclei and the so-called weak nuclear force would be causally necessary conditions for beta-decay, in the absence of which the beta-decay would not occur (Bussey 2013 , p. 20). The difference between supposed quantum indeterminism and (say) the supposed uncaused increase in strength of a pre-existent electric field in (1) above is that the former lacks a causally sufficient condition whereas the latter lacks a causally necessary condition.
In this book, unless otherwise specified, ‘uncaused’ is understood in the first sense, which is consistent with a key motivation for the Causal Principle, namely, Ex Nihilo Nihil Fit (‘from nothing, nothing comes’). A genuinely free act would not be ‘from nothing’; rather, it is from the agent (see further, Chaps. 3 and 6 ).
The conviction that ‘from nothing, nothing comes’ led Aristotle to insist that every state of the world must have come from a previous state of the world and hence the world must be everlasting (Cogliati 2010 , p. 7)—this insistence resulted in the denial of the Christian doctrine of creatio ex nihilo among many ancient philosophers. However, such an insistence is unwarranted given the distinction between efficient cause and material cause. Creatio ex nihilo only denies that the world has a material cause; it does not deny that the world has an efficient cause. On the contrary, ‘ creatio ’ implies that the Creator is the efficient cause who brought about the universe; in this sense, the world is from God and not from nothing.
Aristotle might object that ‘from nothing, nothing comes’ applies to material cause as well, and insist that ‘from no material cause, nothing comes’. He might appeal to our daily experiences, which seem to support the inductive generalization that whatever begins to exist has a material cause. Craig replies that such an inductive generalization can be treated merely as an accidental generalization, ‘akin to human beings have always lived on the Earth, which was true until 1968. The univocal concept of “cause” is the concept of something which brings its effects, and whether it involves transformation of already existing materials or creation out of nothing is an incidental question’ (Craig and Sinclair 2009 , pp. 188–9, 195). On the one hand, there has been no compelling argument offered to show that causes must involve the transformation of already existing materials. On the other hand, God as a causal agent could have causal powers that other entities (e.g. humans) do not have. While humans, for example, require pre-existing materials to work from in order to create (say) a table, God does not require that. Footnote 9 Moreover, there are independent arguments for the Causal Principle (see Chap. 3 ). Note, in particular, that the Modus Tollens argument for this principle explained in Chap. 3 is not dependent on inductive considerations, and because of this additional argument, the Causal Principle enjoys greater support than the principle that ‘whatever begins to exist has a material cause’, which, in any case, can be regarded as an accidental generalization, as Craig argues. In light of this, the affirmation that there is no physical entity prior to t = 0 only implies that the universe was not created out of pre-existent material; it does not imply that there cannot be an efficient cause which has the power to bring about the universe without requiring material cause. To insist otherwise would be to beg the question against creatio ex nihilo (see further, Chap. 6 ).
Causal eliminativists affirm that there are no obtaining causal relations in the mind-independent world (Weaver 2019 , p. 24), while causal reductionists affirm that causation reduces to something else such as a law-governed physical history, where both the laws and physical history are non-causal (Weaver 2019 , p. 62).
In favour of causal eliminativism, it might be thought that causes are merely human interpretations which involve concepts and modelling. However, if one takes up a piece of wood and hit one’s head, one would realize that, while the application of the concept of cause to the wood may be a human interpretation, the wood does have real power to bring about the event of pain, and the correlation is real. Weaver ( 2019 , p. 90) observes that instances of sensation and sense perception involve obtaining causal relations (the environment impressing itself upon the senses). Moreover, the formation of beliefs implies that there are obtaining causal relations because formations are causal phenomena. ‘When a cognizer forms a thought, they relate to the thought through causation. When a cognizer forms a desire, they cause (perhaps together with other factors) the desire’ (p. 93).
While Bertrand Russell ( 1918 ) had declared causation to be a scientifically obsolete notion and logical positivists had tried to build philosophical systems without any reference to cause and effect, Koons and Pickavance ( 2015 , p. 8) observe that
Since then, causation has reclaimed its status as a central notion in philosophical theory. Edmund Gettier, in a famous article in 1963, challenged the traditional definition of knowledge as justified true belief, leading to new theories of knowledge that relied upon some kind of causal connection between states of knowledge and the world. Modern theories of sensory perception and memory, in particular, require reference to appropriate causal mechanisms. Work in the philosophy of language by Keith Donnellan, Saul Kripke, and Gareth Evans, among others, introduced causal theories of the meanings of words and the content of thought. Finally, the philosopher of science Nancy Cartwright demonstrated that causation is far from obsolete in the experimental sciences.
Causal reductionists such as cosmologist Sean Carroll ( 2014 ) claim that ‘the notion of a “cause” isn’t part of an appropriate vocabulary to use for discussing fundamental physics. Rather, modern physical models take the form of unbreakable patterns—laws of Nature—that persist without any external causes.’ Carroll thinks that our construction of causal explanations for objects within the totality of physical reality is due to the fact that the objects obey the laws of physics, and that there is a low-entropy boundary condition in the past. Footnote 10 However, there is no physical law and no low-entropy boundary condition that apply to the totality of physical reality itself; hence, we have no ‘right to demand some kind of external cause’ (Carroll and Craig 2016 , pp. 67–8).
In reply, it should be asked why the ‘patterns’ Carroll refers to are ‘unbreakable’. While Carroll appeals to the so-called laws of nature, one should ask why the events described by fundamental physics follow those laws.
Now Hume famously stated that the laws of nature are simply regularities of events; there is no relationship of necessity between these events, nor are laws conceived of as something that govern the regularities. Hume also claims that ‘we may define a cause to be an object, followed by another, and where all the objects similar to the first, are followed by objects similar to the second’, and that ‘all events seem entirely loose and separate’ ( An Enquiry concerning Human Understanding 1748, section VII). Following Hume, Regularity Theorists of Causation have analysed causation as regular patterns of succession and have regarded these regularities as ‘brute facts’ rather than as something in need of an explanation. Against this, others have argued that the question ‘Why is the world regular (in the particular way that it is)?’ needs to be answered by a deeper explanation, for otherwise the regularity of event P followed by event Q (rather than, say, event R , or S , or T , etc.) is just due to chance, which is highly improbable (Strawson 1989 , pp. 205–6). I shall argue below that the deeper explanation is provided by the properties of the things which are involved in these regular patterns, and these properties can be called ‘causal properties’. Footnote 11
Regularity Theorists might object that the question ‘What explains the regularity?’ is merely pushed back on Strawson’s strategy. For example, if the deeper explanation offered is ‘Because of the nature of matter’, they may ask ‘what explains the nature of matter (or whatever)?’ Since there must after all be some terminus of explanation, why not terminate with the regularities themselves (Psillos 2009 , pp. 134–135)?
In reply, I would argue that terminating with regularities does not get rid of the problem of the improbability of one event following another regularly by chance. On the other hand, terminating with an alternative explanation such as ‘because of causal properties grounded in the nature of matter’, which, one might argue, is determined by a beginningless and uncaused First Cause (see Chap. 6 ) and therefore not the result of chance, would resolve this problem.
Carroll might insist that in fundamental physics, ‘real patterns’ described by laws explain causal regularities, but the question is, why the events described by fundamental physics follow those patterns/laws? A pattern/law of nature is not a concrete thing but merely a description of behaviour of concrete events/thing; thus, it is still the properties of those concrete event/things which ground the behaviour/law, and those properties can be called causal properties. As Feser ( 2013 , p. 254) observes, the laws of nature are ‘mere abstractions and thus cannot by themselves explain anything. What exist in the natural order are concrete material substances with certain essences, and talk of “laws of nature” is merely shorthand for the patterns of behavior they tend to exhibit given those essences.’ Against Maudlin ( 2007 ), Dorato and Esfeld ( 2014 ) argue that the view that laws are grounded in properties (global properties rather than ‘intrinsic’ or local properties, in view of quantum entanglement) makes intelligible how laws can ‘govern’ the behaviour of objects. This is the decisive advantage of dispositionalism over primitivism (the view that laws are primitive).
Carroll might object that the equations of fundamental physics do not seem to specify which events are the causes and which events are the effects. Ladyman et al. ( 2007 , p. 160) claim that ‘matter has become increasingly ephemeral in modern physics, losing its connection with the impenetrable stuff that populates the everyday world … the ontology of modern physics seems to be increasingly abstract and mathematical’. Weaver ( 2019 , p. 63) notes that the reason why causal eliminativism has been so prevalent in philosophy of physics ‘is connected to a tendency in that sub-discipline to associate the substantial content of physical theories with the mathematical formalisms of those theories … because formalisms do not contain any causal notions … physical theories should not be understood causally’.
Nevertheless, Weaver also observes that many great physicists past and present, including the discoverers of relativity and quantum mechanics, ‘adopted causal approaches to physics and conceived of their inquiry as a searching evaluation of the world that should uncover causes’ (Weaver 2019 , p. 71). The equations of fundamental physics do not specify causality because they do not provide an exhaustive description of reality. Consider the following example which illustrates that mathematical equations do not provide a complete account of the natural world and that an interpretative framework involving causal considerations is required: The quadratic equation x 2 – 4 = 0 can have two mathematically consistent results for ‘ x ’: 2 or −2. Both answers are mathematically possible. However, if the question is ‘How many people carried the computer home?’, the answer cannot be ‘−2’, because in the concrete world it is metaphysically impossible that ‘−2 people’ carry a computer home, regardless of what the mathematical equation shows. The impossibility is metaphysical, not mathematical, and it illustrates that metaphysical issues are more fundamental than mathematics. The conclusion that ‘2 people’ rather than ‘−2 people’ carried the computer home is not derived from mathematical equations, but from causal considerations: ‘−2 people’ lack the causal powers to carry a computer home.
Feser ( 2017 , pp. 45–46) observes that ‘since the equations of physics are, by themselves, mere equations, mere abstractions, we know that there must be something more to the world than what they describe. There must be something that makes it the case that the world actually operates in accordance with the equations, rather than some other equations or no equations at all.’ In other words, the equations of physics merely provide an incomplete description of regularities without ruling out efficient causation and causal properties which (as explained above) operate at a more fundamental level as the ground of these regularities.
A number of concerns have been raised in the literature regarding the temporal order of events. It has been claimed that the Delayed Choice Quantum Eraser violates the notion that causes cannot be later than their effects. To elaborate on one version of this Eraser, according to the so-called Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics, the photon either behaves as a wave or a particle when it passes through the double slit, and if scientists quickly place a detection device, the device would detect a particle, if not, a wave behaviour would be observed. Since the placement of the detection device happens after the photon passed through the double slit, it seems that the placement of the detection device determined what happened earlier (whether the photon would behave as wave or particle). However, this reasoning assumes the Copenhagen interpretation. According to Bohm’s interpretation, the photon is always a particle guided by wave (the particle follows one path, while its associated wave goes through both paths); thus, the placement of the detection device did not determine what happened earlier but merely what happened to the photon at the moment of detection (Bricmont 2017 , p. 145).
It has also been claimed that recent experiments in quantum mechanics (a photon prepared in a superposition with regard to its polarization hitting point A before point B on one route while hitting B before A on the other route; these two causal paths [A then B, or B then A] are in superposition) has indicated that, at the fundamental level, temporal order is not fixed (Indefinite Causal Order) (Qureshi-Hurst and Pearson 2020 ). However, the problem is that such claim assumes the Copenhagen interpretation, which (as explained previously) is unproven. Moreover, as explained previously in Chap. 1 , instead of thinking of the superposed state as a photon existing in contradictory states, one can think of it as a quantum of energy spread across the possible states as a wave. Some parts of the wave reach A before B, while other (different) parts of the wave reach B before A; there is no contradiction and no violation of temporal order (it should also be noted that the emission of the photon happens before A or B: a definite temporal order!).
With regard to the so-called backward in time travelling positron in QED, this may be interpreted (in accordance with Paul Dirac’s hole theory) as spacetime locations in the Dirac sea (a theoretical model of the vacuum as a sea of particles with negative energy) at which a negatively charged electron comes into being carrying the negative energy imputed to it by the Dirac sea (Greiner and Reinhardt 2009 , p. 40), thus there is no violation of temporal order.
In any case, as I explain in response to Linford below, even if backward causation is possible and that it is the case that the future determines the past, given the arguments that the future is finite and that a closed loop is impossible (Chap. 5 ), the ‘last’ duration of the future would be the first, and the rest of my argument would still follow. Thus, in any case, the Cosmological Argument I defend is not affected by the above-mentioned concerns regarding the temporal order of events.
Ladyman et al. ( 2007 , p. 160) claim that causation is problematic in the microscopic domain where, for example, ‘the singlet state in the Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen (Bohm-EPR) experiment fails to screen off the correlations between the results in the two wings of the apparatus, and thus fails to satisfy the principle of the common cause’. In reply, Bohmian mechanics and the Ghirardi, Rimini and Weber (GRW) mass density theory are able to offer a causal explanation of the correlated outcomes of EPR-type experiments in terms of a non-local common cause (Egg and Esfeld 2014 ).
It might be objected that, ‘from the point of view of microphysics, given an individual event, there is no objective distinction between which events make up that event’s past and which its future. Therefore, there is no microphysical distinction between which are its causes and which its effects. Thus, there are no facts about microphysical causation’ (Ney 2016 , p. 146). Linford ( 2020 ) claims that ‘efficient causation is a time asymmetric phenomenon’ (p. 8)’, but ‘the direction of time does not appear in our best microphysical theories’ (p. 4). He states that ‘the distinction between the past and the future made in fundamental physics (if fundamental physics really does distinguish the past from the future) are unlikely to explain the distinction between causes and their effects or any of the other macrophysically observable temporal asymmetries’ (n.4). Linford notes that ‘the project of explaining all temporal asymmetry—including the asymmetry of efficient causation—in terms of the Mentaculus is ongoing’, and if successful, ‘efficient causation, qua macrophysical time asymmetry, will be given a reductive explanation in terms of the Mentaculus’ (p. 8). Linford explains that the ‘Mentaculus’ hypothesis (which is part of what he calls the ‘Albert–Loewer–Papineau reductive programme’, or ALP) consists of the conjunction of three principles:
First, whatever the fundamental dynamical laws happen to be. Second, the Past Hypothesis, that is, the hypothesis that the universe began in the low entropy macrophysical state … third, the Statistical Postulate, that is, the specification of a uniform probability measure over the portion of phase space consistent with whatever information we happen to have about the physical world. (pp. 7–8)
The implication of this project (if successful) is that
Even if the coming into being of E requires explanatorily prior, physically necessary conditions C … the explanatorily prior, physically necessary conditions need not fall in any particular temporal direction with respect to E … the explanatorily prior and physically necessary conditions for the universe’s ‘beginning’ can fall in the temporal direction away from the beginning … entities do not require explanatorily prior or simultaneous causes for their coming into being. (p. 11)
In reply, first, it does not follow from the fact that microphysics is not able to distinguish between past and future events that there are no facts about microphysical causation. The reason is that it might be the case that microphysics does not provide a complete explanation of microphysical reality, but only a certain aspect of it, and therefore what cannot be discerned from physics does not imply it does not exist.
Second, the underlying assumption of the above arguments is the Humean assumption that the direction of causation is parasitic on temporal direction, but this assumption can be challenged (see further, below and Chap. 3 ).
Third, an explicitly causal theory of quantum gravity has been proposed (Wall 2013a , b ). While the correct framework for a truly quantum theory of gravity is far from settled, the current status of quantum gravity studies suggests that ‘any case for the claim “quantum gravitational physics does not need causation” is at best uncertain and incomplete’ (Weaver 2019 , p. 274).
Fourth, Frisch points out that descriptions in scientific literature support the thesis that ‘even at the level of fundamental research in physics, our conception of the world is ineliminably causal’ (Frisch 2014 , p. 66). He cites as an example a report from the Large Hadron Collider study group of CERN which mentions that
There are various places in the machine where beams can be ‘injected,’ that other components allow ‘suppression’ of dispersion, and that others allow for the ‘cleanup’ of the beam. Finally, there is the ‘beam dump’ where the beam can be deposited with the help of ‘kickers.’ In the detector, when a photon passes through matter, it ‘knocks out’ electrons from the atoms ‘disturbing the structure of the material’ and ‘creating’ loose electrons. (Ibid., citing Pettersson and Lefèvre 1995 )
Frisch rightly concludes that, although the word ‘cause’ is not used in these descriptions, the terms he quoted all describe what Nancy Cartwright would characterize as ‘concretely fitted out’ instances of ‘causings’ (Frisch 2014 , p. 66). The fundamental particles described by nuclear physics clearly have dispositional properties, that is, tendencies to produce certain effects when they interact in certain ways (Martin 2008 , p. 50).
Weaver ( 2019 , p. 124) notes that ‘the word interaction in scientific and physical research contexts is a causal term’, citing the Oxford Dictionary of Physics , which gives the technical definition: An interaction is ‘an effect involving a number of bodies, particles, or systems as a result of which some physical or chemical change takes place to one or more of them’. Weaver ( 2019 , p. 234) observes that ‘There are four fundamental types of interactions between fundamental entities in our best physical theories, viz., the strong, weak, electromagnetic, and gravitational interactions … No one (so far as I’m aware) in the physics literature denies that all four types of physical phenomena are interactive phenomena.’
Weaver also notes that, if there is causation in the physical base, then ‘any attempt to reduce causal direction to the arrow of entropic increase, for example, will fail, for already within microphysical evolutions driving entropic increase are obtaining causal relations and therefore causal direction’ (p. 131). Hence, it has not been shown that causal direction reduces to some direction in a non-causally interpreted physics given that what’s fundamental in one of our currently best quantum theories should be interpreted causally (p. 143).
One might worry that the view that time-reversal invariant Footnote 12 entails that there are naturally possible worlds at which the imagined microdynamical causes are the effects whereas the effects are transmuted into the causes. In reply, Weaver ( 2019 , p. 133) argues concerning the proposition ‘every purely contingent event has a causal explanation featuring an obtaining irreflexive causal relation to back it’ that a binary relation being necessarily asymmetric does not entail that the relation goes the same way in all possible worlds. It does not rule out the possibility that, if a gluon’s activity causes a quark to take on certain properties in our world, the quark’s beginning to exemplify those properties is the cause of the gluon’s activity in another possible world. In other words, while the relationship between cause and effect is necessarily asymmetric, this does not imply that the kind of thing x which is the cause for an effect y in this world cannot be an effect y of cause x in another possible world. ‘If at an arbitrary world w , the gluon’s activity causes a quark to take on certain properties, then (at w ) it is not the case that the quark’s taking on those properties causes the gluon’s activity’ (ibid.). Additionally, there is a deductive argument for Causal Principle which shows that whatever begins to exist (this would include events at the level of fundamental physics) has a cause (see Chap. 3 ); therefore, causality is fundamental.
Concerning Norton ( 2003 )’s ‘mass on the dome’ thought experiment, it does not pose a problem for my argument because the thought experiment (even if successful; this has been challenged by other philosophers) only goes to show that Newtonian mechanics is consistent with uncaused events. It does not show that uncaused events do happen. One can legitimately reply that, on the one hand, Newtonian mechanics is not a complete description of physical world (indeed, given quantum physics and relativity, we know it is not). On the other hand, given my Modus Tollens argument (see Chap. 3 ), we know that events do not happen without causally necessary condition(s). Additionally, Norton’s thought experiment also assumes that time is composed of instants; but as Craig and others have argued, this view should be rejected because it results in paradoxes of motion (see Chap. 5 ).
Another problem with the Humean view of causation is that contingent relations between events would not support counterfactuals and warrant predictions in science (Mumford 2004 , pp. 161–162). Thus, following Kripke ( 1980 ), who argues that there are metaphysical necessary truths discovered a posteriori (e.g. water is H 2 O), many contemporary philosophers of science have argued that there are causally necessary connections between causal relata (such as events, substances, or states of affairs). The laws of nature have been regarded by them to be at least partly metaphysically necessary (necessitarian view; see, for example, Ellis 2001 ; Bird 2007 ), while other philosophers regard them as metaphysically contingent overall (contingentist view; see, for example, Fine 2002 ; Lowe 2002 ). Alternatively, one might deny that the laws of nature obtain with metaphysical necessity but argue that there is nevertheless a particular sense of necessity pertaining to natural laws (natural necessity) (Linnemann 2020 , pp. 1–2). Fine ( 2002 ), for example, argues that metaphysical necessity is ‘the sense of necessity that obtains in virtue of the identity of things’ (Fine 2002 , p. 254), and that not all natural necessities are metaphysical necessities. For example, ‘light has a maximum velocity’ is at most naturally necessary but not metaphysically necessary. Likewise, even though it is arguably naturally necessary that mass attracts mass with an inverse square law, this does not seem to render it metaphysically necessary (one would think that an inverse cube law for the attraction between masses is as such metaphysically possible). It might be objected that if an inverse cube law (rather than inverse square law) holds, we would not be dealing with ‘mass’ but with something else (e.g. ‘schmass’). However, on the one hand, it is a natural necessity that there is no schmass, on the other hand, the objector is assuming the existence of schmass as a metaphysical possibility. This goes to underscore Fine’s point that not all natural necessities are metaphysical necessities (Linnemann 2020 ).
Lange ( 2009 , p. 45) contrasts the putative necessity of the laws of nature with other putative species of necessity, such as:
(Narrowly) logical necessity (e.g. either all emeralds are green or some emerald is not green)
Conceptual necessity (all sisters are female)
Mathematical necessity (there is no largest prime number)
Metaphysical necessity (water is H 2 O)
Moral necessity (one ought not torture babies to death for fun)
Broadly logical necessity (as possessed by a truth in any of these categories)
Lange ( 2009 , pp. xi–xii) notes that, while the laws of nature have traditionally been thought to possess a distinctive species of necessity (dubbed ‘natural’ necessity) an exception to which is (naturally) impossible, yet many have also regarded the laws of nature to be contingent; unlike the broadly logical truths listed above, the laws of nature could have been different from the way they actually are. Essentialists disagree; they characterize laws as possessing the same strong variety of necessity as broadly logical truths do (Ellis 2001 ). While one can imagine these laws to be false (e.g. one can imagine a different universe in which gravity does not exist), Bird ( 2007 , p. 207) replies by claiming that
imagination is a poor guide to the modality of laws, if one supposes that the power of imagination evolved to allow us to think about the sort of possibilities—concrete, perceptible states of affairs that we might actually come across (predators in the bushes)—rather than esoteric possibilities (if they really were such) we would never experience such as a world with different laws. It can be shown how Kripke’s explanation for the illusion of contingency can be extended to laws.
While some have thought that the laws of nature break down at the Big Bang, physicist Paul Davies explains that there are still other versions of the laws of nature which hold at the Big Bang. Davies ( 2013 ) explains:
Physicists have discovered that the laws of physics familiar in the laboratory may change form at very high temperatures, such as the ultra-hot environment of the Big Bang. As the universe expanded and cooled, various ‘effective laws’ crystallized out from the fundamental underlying laws, sometimes manifesting random features. It is the high-temperature versions of the laws, not their ordinary, lab-tested descendants, that are regarded as truly fundamental.
Nevertheless, there could still be alternative universes in which different properties and different laws of nature exist, whereas the laws of logic exist in all possible universe. Lange ( 2009 , p. 77) argues that it is in this sense in which the contingency aspect of the laws of nature is to be understood, noting that the range of counterfactual suppositions under which the laws of nature must all be preserved, for the set of laws to qualify as stable, is narrower than the range of counterfactual suppositions under which the broadly logical truths must all be preserved, for the set of broadly logical truths to qualify as stable.
According to the dispositionalist view, the necessity aspect of the laws of nature is grounded in dispositional properties understood as natural clusters of powers (Mumford 2004 , pp. 161, 170). On the dispositionalist view, apples regularly fall towards the earth because both apples and the earth have mass understood as a dispositional property, and the resulting regularities can be described by the abstract equations we call the laws of nature (Dumsday 2019 , pp. 10–11). Dorato and Esfeld ( 2014 ) argue that the view that laws are grounded in properties (global properties rather than ‘intrinsic’ or local properties, in view of quantum entanglement) make intelligible how laws can ‘govern’ the behaviour of objects. This is the decisive advantage of dispositionalism over primitivism (the view that laws are primitive; see Maudlin 2007 ). According to the essentialist view, the causally necessary connections are explications of the essential properties of the natural kinds (Ellis 2001 ). Essentialists agree that some properties are essentially dispositional, but they argue that others (e.g. spatiotemporal properties) are not (Choi and Fara 2018 ; see further, Section 3.8.3).
Dumsday ( 2019 , p. 119) has defended dispositionalism against Lange’s attempt to reduce dispositions to subjunctive facts, by situating dispositionalism within robust natural-kind essentialism. ‘Although the dispositions are real and irreducible (hence preserving dispositionalism), they are not ungrounded, but instead are rooted in the kind. Consequently, dispositions cannot be reducible to primitive subjunctives. And the kind in its turn is not reducible to a primitive subjunctive fact, as its explanatory role goes beyond that of such a fact’ (p. 120). ‘A primitive subjunctive fact is ordered to a possible future state of affairs, and cannot, in and of itself, explain the present instantiation of a categorical property like shape or size. By contrast, the kind-essence, as traditionally conceived, does exactly that’ (ibid.; noting on p. 122 that kind-talk is utterly ubiquitous across all the natural sciences and the efforts of many physicists devoted to the classification of apparently fundamental types of particle in terms of kinds).
It has been objected that there are some laws of nature that could not be explained in terms of causal powers. For example, the law of conservation of energy indicates that interactions are constrained by the requirement of preserving the mass-energy, but that constraint does not seem to be the manifestation of a disposition (Chalmers 1999 , pp. 12–13). Mumford ( 2004 , p. 199) replies that what have been labelled as ‘laws of nature’ are actually a very diverse bunch: ‘Some causal laws might be best explained in terms of causal powers but others might be better explained in terms of metaphysical connections between properties and others might merely describe the structure of space–time or the nature and limit of energy.’ I shall argue in Chap. 3 that the law of conservation of energy should be explained in terms of the Causal Principle.
Mumford ( 2004 ) has gone further and argued that, given that the concept of a governing law of nature is no longer plausible, ‘law of nature’ should be discarded. Bird ( 2007 , pp. 189–190) disagrees by appealing to the widespread usage and function of the term in science which indicate that the governing role is not essential to the definition. Bird defines a law of nature as follows: (L) The laws of a domain are the fundamental, general explanatory relationships between kinds, quantities, and qualities of that domain, that supervene upon the essential natures of those things (p. 201). Footnote 13
Dumsday ( 2019 , chapter 2) has replied to Mumford that at least some dispositions have CP clauses incorporating uninstantiated universals (which CP clauses help to delimit the range of manifestations of those dispositions), which imply that the laws of nature exist. Dumsday claims that a Platonist may argue that, while the disposition instances do the causal work, the Platonic universals set the rules by which they operate, and the laws of nature can be understood as relations between universals which govern the causal/dispositional roles that properties play as a matter of metaphysical necessity (Dumsday 2019 , chapter 2). However, the notion of ‘setting the rules’ and ‘govern’ is misleading, since abstract objects do not have causal power to set or govern anything. As noted above, abstract objects such as the equations of physics are merely descriptive of behaviour; thus, there must be something concrete that ‘makes it the case that the world actually operates in accordance with the equations, rather than some other equations or no equations at all’ (Feser 2013 , pp. 45–46).
Traditionally, this concrete entity is God. Bird ( 2007 , pp. 189) notes the theologico-legal origins of the concept of the laws of nature as the decrees of God. Historically, the use of the term ‘law of nature’ is related to legislation by an intelligent deity (Brooke 1991 , p. 26). Mumford ( 2004 , pp. 202–203) objects to the use of this terminology, arguing that, while moral and legal laws are issued to conscious agents who can understanding them and decide whether to obey them or not, physical entities cannot understand and choose, and they could not have behaved other than the way they do because their behaviour are tied necessarily to their properties understood to be clusters of causal powers. He denies the existence of laws imposed on any things, which they then govern.
In reply, it can still be argued that the regularities indicate a Governor (God) who determined the properties of physical entities to be such that they move regularly according to equations in a law-like manner noted by Bird (see Chaps. 4 and 7 ). This conclusion does not require the views that (1) God has created a perfect world fine-tuned to his ends, (2) there is a universal and complete order in nature, and/or (3) what happens in nature can be described in universal and exceptionless laws. Footnote 14 On the contrary, the new groundbreaking view of nature as not universally law-governed (see above) fits well with the claim that, while God determined the properties of physical entities, He also judiciously intervenes in nature at key points to direct its ends (Gingerich 2006 ).
In any case, one still needs to ask where these ‘laws of nature’ come from. One might think that the ‘laws of nature’ express abstract relations between universals which physical things somehow ‘participate in’ (something like the way every tree participates in the Form of Tree; see Armstrong 1983 ). However, we would still need to know how it comes to be that there is a physical world that ‘participates in’ the laws in the first place, why it participates in these laws rather than others, and so on, and this indicates that the laws of nature cannot be ultimate explanations (Feser 2017 , pp. 279–280). As I argue in the rest of this book, the answers to these questions are found in an intelligent First Cause.
In summary, fundamental physics does not provide a complete description of reality. It does not exclude efficient causation and causal properties which operate at a more fundamental level as the ground of the regularities described by fundamental physics. The latter point is further supported by the argument for the Causal Principle (see Chap. 3 ).
The Causal Principle has been rejected in recent years by some philosophers due to considerations from quantum-mechanical indeterminacy (Grünbaum 2009 , p. 15). However, others have responded that quantum particles emerge from the quantum vacuum which is not non-being, but something with vacuum fields (quantum particles are manifestations of fields) and which can be acted on by the relevant laws of nature (Bussey 2013 , p. 33). Given that the pre-existent quantum fields and the capacities to be acted on by the relevant laws of nature are the necessary conditions for bringing about these quantum events, it is not the case that these quantum events are uncaused (see the definition of uncaused in Sect. 2.2 ).
It has sometimes been thought that Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle violates the Causal Principle. This is a misunderstanding. The ‘uncertainty’ in question does not imply it is possible that energy comes from absolute nothing; it just means that the pre-existing energy (i.e. the vacuum energy which is already present) can (unpredictably) have a very high value in a very short period of time, such that the uncertainty of the energy measurement can be very large.
While some scientists have proposed theories according to which the universe began to exist from ‘nothing’ (e.g. Vilenkin 2006 ; Krauss 2012 ), cosmologist George Ellis objects that the efforts by these scientists cannot truly ‘solve’ the issue of creation, ‘for they rely on some structures or other (e.g. the elaborate framework of quantum field theory and much of the standard model of particle physics) pre-existing the origin of the universe, and hence themselves requiring explanation’ (Ellis 2007 , section 2.7). Ellis’ objection indicates that what these scientists mean by ‘nothing’ cannot be the absence of anything; rather, there needs to be something that can behave according to physics in order for their physical theories to work.
Moreover, it has already been explained in Chap. 1 that, in view of the importance of philosophical considerations for evaluating scientific theories, cosmologists should not merely construct models of the universe without considering the philosophical arguments against certain models. If what these scientists mean by ‘nothing’ is truly the absence of anything, then their theory would be refuted by philosophical arguments for the Causal Principle (see Chap. 3 ) which they have not successfully rebutted.
Even if it is the case that the negative gravitational energy of our universe exactly cancels the positive energy represented by matter so that the total energy of the universe is zero, as suggested by the Zero Energy Universe Theory (see Chap. 5 ), this does not imply that the positive and negative energy arose uncaused from zero energy. One can still ask what is the efficient cause which made the positive and negative energy to be the way they are. To conclude otherwise is to commit the logical fallacy of thinking that ‘net zero imply no cause’. (This logical fallacy may be illustrated using the following analogy: the fact that my company’s total expenses cancel the total revenue, such that the net profit is zero, does not imply that the expenses and revenue occurred without an efficient cause. We still need to ask what made the expenses and revenue to be the way they are.)
As for the radioactive disintegration of atomic nuclei, even if events such as the decay of a given atom of 235U at this instant rather than (say) two weeks from now do not have a sufficient cause, there is strong justification for maintaining that the phenomena (the decay and statistics they exhibit) themselves have underlying proportionate causal explanations, for they exhibit regularities that strongly indicate the existence of more fundamental ordered causes (Stoeger 2001 , p. 87). These fundamental ordered causes would be entities that are causally antecedent to the radioactive disintegration of atomic nuclei. Physicist Peter Bussey ( 2013 , p. 20) notes that ‘beta-decay is due to the so-called “weak nuclear force”, in whose absence the decay would not occur. So the cause of the new nuclear state is the weak force acting on the previous nuclear state.’
Additionally, many different interpretations of quantum physics exist, and some of them, such as Everett’s Many Worlds interpretation and Bohm’s pilot-wave model, are perfectly deterministic. A number of scientists and philosophers have argued that Bohm’s theory is superior to the indeterministic Copenhagen interpretation (Towler 2009a , b ; Goldstein 2013 ; I discuss this in Loke 2017 , chapter 5), and that it can explain Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle (Bricmont 2017 , section 5.1.8). Contrary to popular opinion, physicist John Bell has not demonstrated the impossibility of hidden variables, but only the (apparent) inevitability of non-locality of quantum physics; Footnote 15 Bell himself defended Bohm’s hidden variable theory (Bell 1987 ). Likewise, Alain Aspect ( 2002 ), the noted experimenter of quantum entanglement, agrees that his experiment does not violate determinism but only the locality condition. While it has been objected that Bohm’s theory is incompatible with theory of relativity (Lewis 2016 , p. 180), others have replied that, if Bohmian mechanics indeed cannot be made relativistic, it seems likely that quantum mechanics can’t either (Dürr et al. 2014 ; Maudlin [ 2018 ] defends Bohmian mechanics by arguing that fundamental Lorentz invariance can be violated, and that observational Lorentz invariance can be explained by appealing to quantum equilibrium). With regard to quantum field theory, Bricmont ( 2017 , p. 170) proposes Bohm-like quantum field theories in which dynamics are defined
for the fields rather than for the particles, and the guidance equation would apply to the dynamics of field configurations. … One can also propose other Bohm-like quantum field theories, including theories of particles and their pair creation … all the predictions of the usual quantum field theories are also obtained in those Bohmian-type models and, to the extent that those models are rather ill-defined mathematically, the same thing is true for ordinary quantum field theories, which is not the case for non-relativistic quantum mechanics or the corresponding de Broglie–Bohm theory for particles.
Now Bohm’s theory is not the only possible deterministic quantum theory; other deterministic quantum theories that are better than Bohm’s (as well as better than the indeterministic Copenhagen interpretation) might well be discovered in the future. The inability to predict the appearance of the quantum particles in quantum vacuum may be due to our epistemological limitation and the incompleteness of current quantum physics. As Einstein [ 1949 , p. 666] remarks, ‘I am, in fact, firmly convinced that the essentially statistical character of contemporary quantum theory is solely to be ascribed to the fact that this (theory) operates with an incomplete description of physical systems.’ Physicist John Wheeler notes that our current understanding of quantum mechanics is provisional, and that it is plausible to think that some deeper theory, waiting to be discovered, would explain in a clear and rational way all the oddities of the quantum world, and would, in turn, explain the apparent fuzziness in the quantum classical boundary (Ford 2011 , p. 263). Given that our current understanding of the quantum world is provisional, it is false to claim that quantum physics has shown that events can begin to exist without necessary or sufficient conditions.
In conclusion, it has been argued that no compelling scientific evidence against the Causal Principle has been offered. In the next chapter, I shall discuss a number of arguments for the Causal Principle.
Something can have a beginning even if its temporal extension is an actual infinite (e.g. if something begins to exist in the year 2020 and exists endlessly in the later-than direction on the static theory of time). However, if something is finite in temporal extension and has temporal edges, it would have a beginning.
Here, part of a thing refers to a temporal part. See perdurantism, below.
I thank Oners for raising this objection and for the discussion below.
Strictly speaking, the purported evidence for the B theory does not prove that the block never comes to be; see Chap. 6 .
Proponents of probabilistic causation acknowledge that there are sufficient causes and necessary conditions, and they regard sufficient causes as constituting a limiting case of probabilistic causes, but they deny that this limiting case includes all bona fide cause–effect relations (Williamson 2009 , p. 192). It should be noted that a cause can be causally sufficient but not causally necessary for an effect.
Weaver ( 2019 , chapter 7) argues that there are no plausible metaphysical theories of omissions understood as absences that are causal relata, and that virtually all supposed cases of negative causation can be faithfully/accurately re-described without omissions/absences.
Hence, by uncaused First Cause, I mean the First Cause of change, and that this First Cause is not something that is brought into existence. However, such a First Cause might be something that is sustained in existence, and thus is caused in the sense of having a sustaining cause. See further, Chaps. 6 and 8 .
Weaver goes on to explain that he agrees with David Lewis ( 1986 ) that causation should be understood in terms of causal dependence, but disagrees with Lewis’ additional step of reducing causal dependence to counterfactual dependence. He argues on page 261 that the heart of the causal interpretation of General Theory of Relativity (GTR) is not a relation that is reducible to counterfactual dependence, probabilistic dependence, the transfer of energy or momentum, or some other reductive surrogate relation or process.
I thank Michael Dodds for this point.
Curiel ( 2019 ) notes that ‘the Second Law of thermodynamics has long been connected to the seeming asymmetry of the arrow of time, that time seems to flow, so to speak, in only one direction for all systems’.
See the discussion on dispositionalism and essentialism below.
Collins ( 2009 , p. 270) notes that the laws of physics are not strictly speaking time-reversal invariant—since time-reversal symmetry is broken in weak interactions, notably the decay of neutral kaons.
Cf. The Oxford Dictionary of Physics ’ definition of a law in science as ‘a descriptive principle of nature that holds in all circumstances covered by the wording of the law’ (Issacs 2000 , p. 260).
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Tim Mawson points out to me that Bell’s results do not even show that non-locality is violated; this ‘loophole’ is sometimes discussed under the name ‘Superdeterminism’.
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“Change is the law of the universe. You can be a millionaire or a pauper in an instant.”- Bhagawat Geeta
Changes are a major and very important part of our life. As lord Krishna says change is the law of the universe and everybody should embrace it. But changes are not same for everyone. Some love changes on the other hand some hate it.
It is said that without change nothing can grow and blossom properly because every change brings with it some positive and negative impacts with it. Some people know how to keep pace with these changes but there are some people who do not want to keep pace with the changes.
Change is a natural and irresistible process that occurs with the change of time, generations and eras. There is a famous saying- “Go with the flow”; this proverb teaches us to respect and survive in every situation without complaining because we cannot control or change the nature. Therefore, instead of fighting it we should embrace it.
Now let’s talk about people’s reactions towards these certain changes. So first of all there are always two types of individuals the first one who sees the glass as half full that means who has positive attitude and the second one who sees the glass as half empty that means who has negative attitude. So, if we talk about these two categories of people, we can conclude that the former will respect the changes and latter will feel disturbed by the changes.
When change happens by choice, we see it as an opportunity but when change occurs accidently we feel panic. When we are not ready for change then change seems like a worry to us. But we can also turn this into an opportunity; for example, during the pandemic we have faced many changes in our lifestyle such as social distancing, digitalization in education, work from home system, sanitization etc. Some felt troubled by these changes while some converted these changes into opportunities.
As we have seen in the last two years, there has been a spurt in digitalization during lockdown. Due to lack of personal touch people became more aware of the importance of digitalization during pandemic.
So the gist is that changes will happen all the time but we have to learn to live with the changes and accept the fact that this is beyond our control. It is god’s choice not ours, so respect change, respect god.
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An analysis of the pressure factors that influence the sustainable tourism in the Tremiti Islands (TI) has been performed. Tourist’s fluxes have been investigated in terms of monthly arrival and presences showing a high value of the territorial exploitation index with high number of arrivals, particularly in August, and low occupancy rate. Effects of climatic change has been analyzed in TI with reference to the increase of average air and sea temperature in the islands. Some measures of contrast to climate change and to favour sustainable tourism have been discussed also. The CO 2 emissions by ferries transport, solid waste and wastewater treatment have been calculated. Environmental taxation for sustainable tourism aimed tat CO 2 content reduction is also assessed identifying the value in 1.47 €/capita on the basis of the tourist arrivals and presences considering the environmental cost for CO 2 removal and showing that tourism taxation should be well accepted if funds are destined to environmental purposes.
The Tremiti Islands (TI) are located in Apulia, Southeast of Italy, and consist of five islands: San Domino (the largest), San Nicola, Capraia, Cretaccio (little more than a large rock) and Pianosa (11 miles from Capraia), for a total extension of 3.34 km 2 ; it is 12.5 miles from the nearest town in the Gargano (Torre Mileto, a hamlet of Sannicandro Garganico). The emerged surface of the archipelago is part of the Gargano National Park. Tremiti Islands are one of the Marine Protected Areas (MPA) in the Mediterranean Sea.
The Mediterranean Sea is a densely populated region where multiple human activities have placed stress on biodiversity, food webs, and ecosystems for centuries 1 , 2 , 3 . The Mediterranean coastal region is home to more than 150,000,000 people and is by far the largest global tourism destination, attracting almost a third of the world’s international tourists annually (343,000,000 out of 980,000,000 worldwide in 2014, with a projection of 500,000,000 by 2030 4 . The demand for marine resources and space is quite high, leading many users to oppose the establishment of MPAs. This is because such conservation measures may limit or displace activities such as local commercial and recreational fishing, boating, and diving. In such situations, it is crucial to understand whether MPAs are actually effective and under what circumstances. This can help raise awareness among the public and decision-makers, and guide decisions about creating, maintaining, expanding, managing, enforcing, and supporting MPAs.
One of the areas most affected by the tourism phenomenon in Puglia is the Tremiti Islands archipelago. The Italian Institute of Statistics, ISTAT, which recently classified the Italian municipalities by tourist areas prevalent concerning tourist density and territorial vocations, has defined the municipality of the Tremiti Islands as a “municipality with a maritime vocation and with a cultural, historical, artistic and maritime, cultural” 5 . The Tremiti Islands municipality boasts a unique blend of natural and man-made heritage. Its natural elements—such as inlets, sea caves, stunning views, and diverse underwater ecosystems—are a sight to behold. The island’s archaeological sites, like Greco-Roman tombs, and architectural landmarks, such as the fortified walls and the Abbey of San Nicola, are equally impressive. The monastery, which was home to three different religious orders from 1000 to 1700, is another must-see attraction. Overall, the archipelago’s rich heritage makes it a perfect destination for tourism.
The Tremiti islands are now in a delicate balance between the delicacy of their natural beauty and the high pressure of tourist fluxes.
Human activity, through the emission of greenhouse gases, has caused global warming, resulting in a significant increase in the global surface temperature of the earth and oceans, and coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change 6 , 7 , 8 , 9 .
TI are also subject to the effects of climate change, regarding the rise of the average and maximum temperatures of the air and water which can have consequences in the management of sustainable tourism. In TI, different approaches should be taken to manage the indirect impacts of climate change on tourism, depending on the specific impacts under consideration for sustainable tourism. For example, implementing a program to reduce CO 2 emissions, preserving biodiversity in the TI, optimizing waste collection and disposal, reducing organic and inorganic pollution and managing the increased risk of forest fires in the interior 10 , 11 . All these climate change adaptation measures should include specific actions for the environmental, social and economic sectors, as well as tailor-made adaptation measures for well-managed and participatory sustainable tourism 12 , 13 , 14 , 15 . In TI, sustainable tourism development is closely linked to ecotourism, a form of tourism based on natural resources that preserves environmental sustainability and develops people's well-being. It should be characterized by community participation and conservation for the sustainable development of the MPA as a key strategy for environmental education 11 , 16 , 17 , 18 .
The problem of the negative impact of tourism on the environment in TI arises from the growth of mass tourism.
The aim of this paper is to discuss principal aspects affecting sustainable tourism in the Tremiti Islands including tourist’ fluxes, climate change, and environmental taxation suggesting measures to promote an environmental awareness in the management of tourism at the Tremiti Islands.
The specific objectives of the paper are:
To analyze the tourist fluxes during the year at TI
To illustrate the effects of climate change in TI
To assess the CO 2 emissions correlated to solid waste, wastewater and ferry transport
To propose measures to reduce emissions and adapt to climate change
To determine the value of an environmental tax necessary to facilitate sustainable tourism development.
The tourist arrival and presence data were obtained from “Osservatorio Turistico Regionale 2019,” while the climatic data were sourced from “Protezione Civile Puglia, Annali Idrologici – Parte 1 (2021)” and ERA5 global reanalysis Hersbach 19 , 20 , 21 .
The accuracy of the linear regressions of the climatic data was evaluated by calculating the R-squared values. For the tourist data, a one-way ANOVA was performed to determine significant differences between the values. Correlation tests were also carried out to confirm the trends observed in the regressions.
In the Tremiti Islands, there is predominant tourism characterized by high seasonality with short-term stays and a notable density of tourists especially in the months of July and August. The month of August alone accounts for 35% of the annual tourist presences with 20,859 presences as illustrated in Fig. 1 .
Total tourist presences and arrivals at TI during the year.
These data confirm the Apulian seaside tourism vocation. This seasonal tourism is concentrated in July and August and alone covers more than 51% of annual tourist presences (Osservatorio Turistico Regionale, 2021) 19 .
Another critical issue regards the daily arrivals, 73,240 in August, at TI. Every day, in August, as average 20,859 represents the number of the presences, i.e., the number of the tourists that are sleeping in the islands, and 52,381 are the one-day tourists who contribute significantly at the tourism pressure index and to the CO 2 emissions.
The use of Mediterranean islands, including the TI, by both the resident population and tourists is often evaluated using a Territorial Exploitation Index. This index measures the pressure on the environment caused by tourists and the resident population from the demand side. It calculates the impact of tourist arrivals and residents on the total area of the territory. The value of this index can be seen as an indirect measure of the pressure that tourists and residents put on the region’s infrastructure 22 , whereby:
TEI = (arrivals/area(km 2 ) + residents/area (km 2 ))/100.
This indicator makes it possible to classify islands according to the degree of exploitation of their territory. The Tremiti Islands Territorial Exploitation Index is equal to 59.8, one of the highest in Mediterranean. This means that TI have a high tourism pressure index, but Tremiti islands have also a low occupancy rate, because the supply of bed spaces is being underutilized, so a design growth strategy is needed 22 , 23 .
Throughout the Mediterranean, the tourism sector is economically important in terms of job creation, infrastructure development and foreign exchange. Tourism policies aimed at moving towards sustainability should be focused on seasonality reduction, tourism restraint and the upgrading of, but not increasing supply of tourism 22 , 24 . In these territories, which are often fragile and highly vulnerable to tourist activities, as well as being characterized by developmental backwardness, the strategies to be defined and approaches to be followed must consider the peculiarities of the islands 25 .
Climate change at ti.
A progressive increase of the effects of climate change has been evidenced over the last 40 years throughout the Mediterranean and in the Mediterranean islands 26 . Climate change contributes to the progressive decline of these islands’ extraordinarily rich marine biodiversity 27 . Since they are islands, they are more exposed to marine risks than mainland locations 28 , 29 . They share common vulnerabilities to climate change, derived from low economic diversification and capacity for sewage treatment, among other aspects. They are also characterized by having less climate-related data to inform decision-making, compared to the mainland 30 . Climatic conditions have also changed in the Tremiti islands with an increase of the average air temperature and of the average sea temperature over the last 40 years as shown in Figs. 2 , 3 .
Tremiti Islands—Average and max. extreme air temperature in the last 40 years.
Tremiti Islands—Average Sea temperature in the last 40 years.
Figure 2 shows a constant trend of increasing air temperature over the last 40 years, which is remarkable for the average maximum temperature.
Figure 3 shows the increase in average seawater temperature in the range of about 1.5 ℃ in the last 40 years, with serious implications for marine flora and fauna.
CO 2 production has been calculated as the contribution of Ferry Transport, Solid Waste and Wastewater Treatment.
The Tremiti Islands can be reached from five ports: Port of Vasto (Abruzzo); Port of Peschici (Apulia); Port of Termoli (Molise); Port of Vieste (Apulia) and Port of Rodi Garganico (Apulia).
The average speed of the ferries is 19 knots per hour (35 km/h) and the average diesel consumption is 2700 l/h (0.0132 km/l). One litre of diesel produces about 2.66 kg of CO 2 , so according to similar calculations, ferry transport produces about 201 kg CO 2 /km 31 .
Total Ferries routes are 300 in August and 46 km is the average distance between Italian ports and TI, the total ferries routes cover a distance of 13,800 km.
The total number of tourists transported, arrivals and presences, in the Tremiti Islands in August is 73,240. A total of 13,800 * 201 = 2773.8 t of CO 2 /August is produced by the ferries and 2,773.8:73,240 = 0.038 t of CO 2 /tourist*day is produced by each tourist in August including the one-day tourists.
The seasonal nature of tourism also requires additional efforts from local authorities to provide services such as policing, traffic control, water management and waste management. The seasonality of tourism greatly amplifies the impact of tourism on waste management. It also shows that this additional impact comes through scale effects, with seasonality making it harder to manage solid waste at optimal scale. Therefore, relating to the size of touristic seasonal flow of presences, it should be preferred a lower number of tourists who stay longer over a larger number of short stays 32 , 33 , 34 , 35 , 36 . It is assumed that 1 kg of Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) produces 1.11 kg CO 2 , mainly due to CH 4 content and emission, and collection and transport 37 , 38 , 39 , 40 , 41 .
101,740 kg of USW are produced by tourists in August (Apulian Osservatorio Regionale Rifiuti, 2021) so an amount of 101,740 * 1.11 kg CO 2 /kg MSW = 112,931.5 kg CO 2 is expected in the month of August by tourists wastes. 112,931.5 kg CO 2 : 73,240 = 1.54 kg CO 2 /tourist*day are produced in the month of August per capita. Therefore, 112.93 t CO 2 are estimated to be produced by tourists as total in August for the disposal of Municipal Solid Wastes.
Wastewater treatment is primary source of CO 2 due to CO 2 biogenic direct emission and to fossil CO 2 correlated to electric energy consumption in wastewater treatment plants 42 , 43 , 44 , 45 , 46 , 47 , 48 , 49 , 50 . According to Ranieri et al. (2023b) 44 , a tourist produces 125 kg/year*capita and therefore 0.342 kg CO 2 /capita per day is produced by a tourist in wastewater treatment, mainly due to electrical energy and the sludge treatment line 14 .
Considering that the total number of arrivals of tourists in the Tremiti Islands in August is 73,240, calculated in 31 days of August, a quantity of 25.08 t of CO 2 is produced by tourists in August through wastewater treatment.
Taking into account the three sources of CO 2 sources – ferries, waste and wastewaters—(2,773.8 tCO 2 /month, 112.93 tCO 2 /month, 25.08 tCO 2 /month) produced by tourists in August in the Tremiti Islands, a quantity of 2,911.81 tCO 2 /August is expected and a quantity of 0.04 tCO 2 /day*capita produced by a tourist as average in one day based on the August arrivals.
Climatological data collected at TI showed a clear tendency to the increase of the average temperature of the sea water and air temperature. Meanwhile a positive effect should regard the extension of the touristic season and bathing period due to warmer air and sea water temperature. This trend can result in a serious modification of the sea marine habitat with negative effects for a lot of vegetal and animal species of the Adriatic Sea. So, some measures to contrast the climate change have been outlined at TI.
In order to face the effects of climate change at local and global level some contrast measures are suggested for their implementation in TI.
These measures of contrast to climate change should be addressed for achieving the Ecological Management Effectiveness (EME) of MPAs and to favor sustainable tourism that is the degree to which TI-MPA reaches his ecological goals 51 .
EME refers to the achievement of ecological goals and is the most frequently assessed aspect of MPA management effectiveness 51 , 52 . It is usually assessed by comparing one or more biological descriptors -e.g., density, size and biomass of species, species richness- or assemblages' patterns inside and outside protected areas 53 , 54 , 55 , 56 , 57 , 58 .
The contrast measures may include:
Incentive for tourists out of the season; this is facilitated by the average increase in temperatures and the lengthening of the bathing season observed at TI;
Energy: development and dissemination of interventions and practices aimed at reducing energy consumption
Water: rationalization of the use of water
Wastewater: implementation of affination and reuse of wastewater for irrigation of agriculture or green areas 59 , 60 , 61 , 62
Trees and green areas: plantation of endemic specie to contrast land degradation and CO 2 emissions
Solid Waste: reduction separate collection and sustainable management of waste
Food and products: rationalization, promotion of the short chain
Awareness raising: training and promotion of practices with reduced environmental impact
Plastics: reducing the use of plastics on all the islands. In this regard, the local municipality has already banned all plastic plates, cups and utensils on the Tremiti Islands from 1 May 2018.
These environmental measures can be financed by application tourism/environment taxes. In the recent years tourism taxes have been largely used in Italy but principally as method to store funds aimed at supporting tourist services 63 .
The use of the tourism taxation has proved its general acceptability, contrary to the opinion of many tourism facility managers who frequently complain about the negative impact that this fiscal policy could have on the number of tourists and on the length of their stays 64 .
Environmental purposes are also well accepted as a destination for tourism tax funds.
Some authors (Rotaris and Carrozzo, 2019) 65 demonstrate also that the Willingness To Pay (WTP) for the tourism tax depends not only on the vacation and the tourist type but also on how the tax revenue is used. Thus, if no mention is made of the use of the tax revenues, the WTP can be as low as € 0.85 per person per night. If the tax revenues are used to improve and to protect the environment, the WTP can be as high as € 3.96 65 . This environmental contribution is an environmental tax for tourism purposes in the wrong sense, because the protection of the environment is not included in the taxable case, but the revenue from the contribution is intended to repair the damage caused by tourists in the marine reserve of the Tremiti Islands 66 . Similarly, the Government of the Autonomous Community of the Balearic Islands has proposed the introduction of an environmental tax on visitors in order to internalize external environmental costs 67 in the sense of a Pigouvian tax.
Environmental measures are very fundamental to promote the sustainable tourism but can be also quantified using economical method that can prove their financial sustainability.
According to Visintin et al. (2022) 64 , a Social Cost of Carbon (SCC) can be adopted as monetary conversion factor. The SCC is the marginal cost of damage caused by carbon emissions or the marginal benefit resulting from reduced greenhouse gas emissions 64 . In our analysis, the SCC damage cost was assumed to be 36.92 €/tCO2. So, 36.92 * 0.04 = 1.47 €/capita*day, it is the cost necessary to compensate the quantity of CO 2 produced by a tourist in one day, and this value should be the environmental tax to be considered. Considering the low occupancy rate for the bed occupancy and to limiting the phenomena of one day tourism the tax should be applied “una tantum” just for the arrivals and then equal to 1.47 €/capita*day.
Finally, it is fundamental to create and maintain a network among all stakeholder in the MPA and Tremiti Islands in particular management to support the economic growth and sustainable tourism.
The touristic fluxes have been analyzed in the Tremiti Islands showing that the territorial exploitation index: (arrivals/area + population/area)/100 is very high in comparison with other Mediterranean islands and the tourist pressure index – (overnight stays + population)/area – reveals that the tourism and population pressure is high in proportion to the island area but there is a low occupancy rate in the Tremiti archipelago.
The climatic conditions of the Tremiti islands are varied at with an increase in the average sea temperature and in the average air temperature during last decade.
Several measures of contrast for the climatic changes regarding the tourism and the existing infrastructures have been outlined.
These measures have also a positive return in terms of environmental balance considering the value for the greenhouse gases reduction.
Finally, these measures may be financed by environmental taxes estimated in 1.47 €/person*day that have been showed that are well perceived by tourists if they have consciousness that they are visiting a well-managed area with respect to the territory and to all the environments.
The sustainable tourism policy should be implemented in the Tremiti Islands, but it needs to be strengthened by adopting specific measures 16 , especially regarding the reduction of CO 2 emissions and all the environmental issues illustrated.
All data analysed during this study are included in this published article.
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Dipartimento di Scienze Sociali, Università Degli Studi Di Foggia, 71121, Foggia, Italy
Francesca Ranieri
Dipartimento Di Bioscienze, Biotecnologie Ed Ambiente, Università Degli Studi Di Bari, 70125, Bari, Italy
Gianfranco D’Onghia, Luigi Lopopolo & Ezio Ranieri
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Ranieri Ada Cristina
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F.R. and E.R. wrote the main manuscript text. F.R. has coordinated all the revisions and additions to this article. G.D. has suggested the ecological informations related to tremiti Islands. A.C.R. reviewed the manuscript. L.L. prepared Figs. 1–3. A.F.U. made the scientific supervision of the manuscript.
Correspondence to Francesca Ranieri .
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Ranieri, F., D’Onghia, G., Uricchio, A.F. et al. Sustainable tourism in the Tremiti Islands (South Italy). Sci Rep 14 , 19021 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-70171-6
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1344 Words Essay on Change is the Law of Nature. Article shared by. In one of Alfred Lord Tennyson's poems, the brave and bold fighter McArthur is seriously wounded and is about to die. His General Bedivere feels sad and asks him what they would do without him. McArthur says: "Old order changes, yielding place to new.".
This is the standard editon of John Locke's classic early work Essays on the Law of Nature. Also included are selected shorter philosophical writings from the 1660s, unpublished elsewhere, whose topics include happiness, pleasure and pain, faith and reason.
The most obvious is the publication of the early Essays on the Law of Nature.3 These essays give us much more information than we have previously had about Locke's thinking on the law of nature.
Essays on the law of nature. The Latin text, with a translation, introd. and notes, together with transcripts of Locke's shorthand in his journal for 1676 by Locke, John, 1632-1704 Publication date 1954 Topics Natural law Publisher Oxford, Clarendon Press Collection marygrovecollege; internetarchivebooks; americana; inlibrary; printdisabled ...
This general question about the nature of law presupposes that law is a unique social-political phenomenon, with more or less universal characteristics that can be discerned through philosophical analysis. General jurisprudence, as this philosophical inquiry about the nature of law is called, is meant to be universal.
Written before his better-known philosophical works, these essays fully explain how natural law is known and to what extent it is binding.
These essays take up pressing questions about whether the laws of nature can be consistent with contingency, whether laws are based on the invariants of scientific theories, and how to deal with exceptions to laws.
Essays on the Law of Nature: The Latin Text with a Translation, Introduction and Notes, Together with Transcripts of Locke's Shorthand in his Journal for 1676. November 8, 2002, Oxford University Press, USA. in English.
A great argument essay structure may be divided to four paragraphs, in which comprises of four sentences (excluding the conclusion paragraph, which comprises of three sentences).
We are, moreover, in what Culpeper describes as a 'crisis of time'. This essay poses the question as to whether, given the urgency of our situation, we might learn from Culpeper's generation that regeneration requires revolution as well as reform. KEYWORDS: Global crisis English civil war climate change common law natural law Hartlib circle
The International Court of Justice is set to clarify the responsibilities of states to act on global warming. Governments must step up in support — before it's too late.
Modifications could change our laws of physics, or add new features to the universe: menu options, speed filters, closed captioning, pop-up blockers — buttons to push that would make our lives ...
Laws of Nature Laws of Nature are to be distinguished both from Scientific Laws and from Natural Laws. Neither Natural Laws, as invoked in legal or ethical theories, nor Scientific Laws, which some researchers consider to be scientists' attempts to state or approximate the Laws of Nature, will be discussed in this article. Instead, it explores issues in contemporary metaphysics.
Essays on the Law of Nature. Recommended edition: Political Essays, ed. Mark Goldie (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1997), 79-133. Excerpt: Since God shows Himself to us as present everywhere and, as it were, forces Himself upon the eyes of men as much in the fixed course of nature now as by the frequent evidence of miracles in time past ...
Laws of Nature. Laws of nature are defined as general statements about the properties of natural entities, relating various variables and constants. A law of nature is thought to have counterfactual implications, to presuppose certain idealized conditions, and to have quantitative aspects and explanatory power.
39) observes, 'The rock-bottom feature of time that must be accepted on all sides is that there is change, and the different views concerning the nature of change constitute the difference between A- and B- theories of time.' A change is understood here as involving a thing or part of a thing 2 gaining or losing one or more properties.
Change is the rule of nature. "Change is the law of the universe. You can be a millionaire or a pauper in an instant."-. Bhagawat Geeta. Changes are a major and very important part of our life ...
Essays on the Philosophical, Scientific and Historical Dimensions Edited by: Friedel Weinert Volume 8 in the series Philosophie und Wissenschaft https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110869859 Cite this Share this
20. Seliger, The Liberal Politics ..., p. 54. 21. Locke, essays, p. 133. Note also that the later Locke has modified this earlier position in another respect, i.e., with regard to the question of whether or not revelation is properly considered part of the law of nature.
An analysis of the pressure factors that influence the sustainable tourism in the Tremiti Islands (TI) has been performed. Tourist's fluxes have been investigated in terms of monthly arrival and ...